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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: chainik who wrote (288064)11/3/2010 12:50:35 PM
From: skinowskiRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
even a modest (5-10%) correction will be sufficient to switch the mood back to the gloomy side.

Agree - it doesn't take much for the mood to change. And indeed, in the context of a continuing Bull market such a mood "correction" would be a good buying point.

However, if the larger trend would actually change, then the mood would remain gloomy and "oversold" for a long time.

If (IF) the 2009-10 rally will eventually prove to have been a correction (2 or B), then it most certainly accomplished what it had to do -- at this time it is hard even to imagine the possibility that the markets may seriously test - leave alone break - the 2009 lows.

You mentioned commodities. I suspect that Rogers may be right. With a growing global population - and more importantly, with 100's of millions of people emerging from the (economic) stone age and into the modern world - the odds seem good that the secular bull in commodities will continue.... maybe after significant setbacks.