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To: Jeff Hayden who wrote (109103)2/13/2011 5:44:10 PM
From: Doren  Respond to of 213183
 
This whole market share thinking idea came out of the Apple/Microsoft battles 20 years ago.

That battle was over a smaller market with much bigger profit margins, and items that cost well over $2000 during the first battles.

This is a completely different war, although some of the players are the same.

The paradigm may still apply, but certainly not exactly and for sure the future constantly surprises.

Look back at how WRONG almost all science fiction has proven to be.

I just don't think Android getting 70% market share will matter in the least to Apple.

I definitely remember missing the point entirely with the iPod, thinking it was just a smaller music player. I totally based my thinking on the Sony Walkman, overlooking the fact you could carry virtually your entire music collection with you in the car at work.

I based my thinking on a paradigm that was oblivated by the iPod.



To: Jeff Hayden who wrote (109103)2/13/2011 5:58:11 PM
From: i-node  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 213183
 
>> That's all this whole market share crap deserves.

Perhaps it is lost on you, but market share has everything to do with profits. If market share begins to erode, profits will erode. And these kinds of transitions can have a compounding effect.

I don't suppose you ever studied the application of Markov Chains to market share problems?

One of the effects of market share transitions is reduced brand loyalty. We wouldn't want that.