SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (73079)4/13/2011 7:59:28 AM
From: Maurice Winn1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217655
 
That was two spot on gold predictions C2. Both 31 Dec 2010 and 2009 were spot on, to the dollar. So was the solar minimum. And the last three winters. Watch in 2020!!

Gold is a bit more tricky now because some serious volatility, aka "hunting", is quite likely as people lunge around in panicky moves.

As predicted about 7 years ago right here, US$2000 an ounce would be the result of serious US$ carnage and US$10,000 an ounce would be needed to replace US$ with gold.

US Congressors are fiddling on the fringes. POTUS is wanting to keep the loot flowing even faster. It's like an alcoholic going on a bender when the party is over, it's time to sober up and get to grips with reality. Or is it a drug addict, needing just one more fix - a good big dose this time.

Mqurice



To: carranza2 who wrote (73079)4/18/2011 7:27:51 PM
From: Maurice Winn1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217655
 
Heck, I just checked gold after a week or two without doing so. Pretty much $1500 already. Another $50 to reach the end of year sooth will be no problem.

As I mentioned, "hunting" is now going on, aka volatility, as people try to figure out what to do about the obviously untenable situations - plan A, B, C and D all have unfortunate outcomes. E is unattractive and F for fail is a likely choice.

But surprising things can happen. The Tea Party might have surprising success. VVV combined with Confucianism might be adopted com gusto across the USA. People can change their minds overnight when faced with serious situations.

To explain my numerical analysis somewhat, the sooths, like my sunspot analysis, are based on smoothed figures. The peaks and troughs are above and below the sooth line, but financial relativity theory gravitational effects implacably push the numbers to the sooth line. So probabilistically, the sooth line is most likely to be the right place.

Incidentally, my sun-spot sooths are looking to be spot on too, with the sooths made [22 October 2008] a full year before the experts realized what was going on with the very low solar activity. Beware the 2020 foresight sooth for snow and lots of it.

Mqurice



To: carranza2 who wrote (73079)5/11/2011 3:52:50 PM
From: Maurice Winn1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217655
 
Hi C2. See what I mean by "hunting"? Gold's volatility is significant now. Already it zoomed past my $1530 31 December 2011 price, then panicked and raced back down.

The 31 December 2012 price of $1,727 is yet to be reached. But why did you think that price surprising? <The end of year prediction for 2011 is not too surprising. However, the second one is not one I expected. >

Low? High?

Mqurice