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Technology Stocks : Groupon, Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (116)9/17/2011 1:45:38 AM
From: Glenn Petersen1 Recommendation  Respond to of 480
 
Aftermarket Groupon Sites Eat Into Revenues

By IDALMY CARRERA
Chicago News Cooperative
New York Times
September 15, 2011

As skepticism mounts over Groupon’s long-term business prospects, this Chicago-based daily-deal giant, already facing a possible delay in its initial public stock offering, could be facing a new challenge in the form of the $1.2 billion market for resale of the company’s signature deep-discount coupons.

Voucher resale sites like Lifesta.com allow customers of Groupon and other daily-deal sites to resell the vouchers they buy but then cannot use. Some 20 percent of Groupon coupons go unused, and Groupon and its merchants both currently benefit from the unused vouchers, said Sam Hamadeh, chief executive of PrivCo, a financial analysis firm.

Participating in a Groupon deal can prove to be an unprofitable prospect for business owners, who use steep, one-day discounts publicized on the Groupon site to attract customers. However, when the coupons are sold but not used, retailers pocket the revenue without actually providing the good or service to Groupon’s customers. Retailers carefully calculate how many of the deep-discount coupons they can validate and still make money, and for many the exposure to losses from Groupon deals rises as usage climbs above the expected 80 percent validation rate.

Eran Davidov, the co-founder of Lifesta.com, has labeled the unused coupon aftermarket “Groupon regret.” But in an interview, he said it was not because purchasers were experiencing buyers’ remorse. In most cases, he said, people who are looking to resell their Groupons have moved, lost a job or experienced some other major change. Chicago is Lifesta.com’s top market for unused vouchers.

As Lifesta.com and other aftermarket sites continue to grow, the percentage of validated coupons has begun to rise. The increase in usage can cause merchants to think twice about participating in Groupons or to press Groupon for a larger share of coupon revenue.

A Groupon spokeswoman said that Groupon did not condone the use of aftermarket sites because the company could not guarantee the authenticity of the Groupons sold there. She would not comment on how the aftermarket sites had affected revenue.

Groupon once split revenues from coupon sales 50/50 with merchants. According to its most recent S.E.C. filing, Groupon is averaging only 42 percent of coupon revenues. The company’s share has declined in the face of increased competition from Google Offers, Living Social and a legion of smaller, more local competitors. One of the competitors, Google Offers, reportedly retains only 35 percent of revenues.

Thornthan Srikalayanavat, owner of Rice Bistro, a restaurant in Lakeview, acknowledged that he had lost money on both of his Groupon deals. “Not a lot of money comes to me, but I don’t advertise in the newspaper or the TV or the radio,” he said. He added, Groupon “is my advertising.”

As the increased usage makes Groupon deals less profitable for merchants, they are expected to demand a larger share of revenue from Groupon. This comes at a time when the company is already under pressure from increased competition.

“That’s why it’s gradually coming down to the lowest common denominator from the original 50/50 cut, to 45 percent to 40 percent and gradually going down. So our financial analysis of Groupon is not that positive,” Mr. Hamadeh said.

However, Zeus Kerravala, an analyst at Yankee Group, a technology research firm, believes the resale sites are actually helping Groupon.

“The reason you might not want to use Groupon is, what if you get stuck not using it?” Mr. Kerravala said. “What the secondary sites do is they create a larger addressable market for people that are willing to use it because in many ways it de-risks it. I think it helps Groupon.”

But, Mr. Kerravala said, if the voucher resale sites continue to see a month-to-month growth of more than 50 percent, as they have in recent months, Groupon may have to find a way to offer its own aftermarket product, or buy one of the aftermarket sites.

“I don’t think you’re going to stop the aftermarkets,” Mr. Kerravala said. “Hopefully what Groupon would strive for is that the overall market would grow and even if that aftermarket keeps growing with it, the primary market would grow at an accelerated pace over the aftermarket.”

Groupon has rescheduled its I.P.O. for late October or early November.

carrera@chicagonewscoop.org

nytimes.com



To: stockman_scott who wrote (116)9/19/2011 8:57:59 AM
From: Glenn Petersen1 Recommendation  Respond to of 480
 
Get 'Em While They Last: 'Daily Deal' Sites Dying Fast

By SHAYNDI RAICE
Wall Street Journal
SEPTEMBER 19, 2011

The online business of serving up daily deals has attracted millions of dollars in venture capital and spurred dozens of clones of market leaders Groupon Inc. and LivingSocial Inc. Now the industry is starting to shake out.

Nearly one-third of all daily-deal sites nationwide—or 170 of 530—have shut down or been sold so far this year, according to daily-deal-site aggregator Yipit.com, including sites with names such as Scoop St. and RelishNYC. Even big operations such as Facebook Inc. and Yelp Inc. that could capitalize on their large audiences to build a daily-deals business have recently pulled back on the service.

The daily-deals business has turned into an "arms race," with competitors spending money to attract subscribers and hundreds of employees and making it more difficult for other sites to keep up, said David Ambrose, the 26-year-old co-founder of Salesscoop LLC's Scoop St., which was sold last month to rival BuyWithMe Inc. for an undisclosed sum.

At the heart of the winnowing is the shifting economics of the daily-deals business. Setting up a daily-deals site—in which the site takes a cut of the online coupons it offers consumers—requires just a website, some emails and local merchants willing to offer a discount. But as the industry has started maturing, the costs of running such a business have soared.

In particular, the cost of acquiring subscribers who redeem a daily deal has skyrocketed during the past two years, said executives at daily-deal websites.
While snagging early adopters who were curious about daily deals initially required little marketing, it now takes more spending to get to remaining consumers and to cut through the noise created by so many competitors.

For example, Groupon, the daily-deals market leader that filed to go public in June, spent about $7.99 to acquire each subscriber who actually redeemed a daily deal in the first quarter of 2010, according to regulatory filings. By the second quarter of 2011, that figure had nearly tripled to $23.46.

Overall, Groupon spent $378.7 million in marketing initiatives in the first half of 2011, up from $35.5 million in the same period a year earlier, according to regulatory filings. Many smaller websites don't have the war chest to compete.

At the same time, daily-deal sites also increasingly have to hire more salespeople to line up coupon offers from local merchants. Groupon has 990 sales employees in North America, up from 201 a year earlier, according to its regulatory filings. LivingSocial, the No. 2 player in the space, has beefed up its sales force to 700 employees from 191 a year ago, said a company spokesman.

Groupon pays sales associates about $35,000 a year, and those salaries can jump to as high as $100,000 with commissions, according to a person familiar with the matter. Smaller sites that typically hire only a handful of sales employees and pay on a commission-only basis are hard-pressed to compete against those compensation packages, industry executives said.



At Scoop St., Mr. Ambrose said he didn't raise enough money to keep up with the escalating costs of running a daily-deals business. While investors offered as much as $10 million in 2009, he ended up taking a smaller investment of $1.2 million. By the first half of 2010, he had spent close to $200,000 on marketing and found that consumers either weren't purchasing vouchers or didn't turn into repeat customers.

Scoop St. had 50,000 subscribers when it was sold.

The daily-deals business is "not as simple as people think," Mr. Ambrose said.

Meanwhile, Waleed Khabbaz, 31 years old, started working on RelishNYC LLC in October 2009 by racking up $30,000 in credit-card debt. He launched the RelishNYC site in May 2010 and RelishCharlotte, a deals site in Charlotte, N.C., a few months later.

Mr. Khabbaz put all his money toward developing the sites, leaving no funds to pay for marketing or employees. He said that he split the profit from deals with his four sales associates, so they would earn about $100 per deal.

To lure more merchants to offer daily deals on his sites, Mr. Khabbaz in June 2010 went from asking for a 50% cut of a coupon price to just 20%. Often, he wouldn't take any cut. He also tried offering smaller deals in the $4 and $5 range, but those didn't bring in enough money.

Mr. Khabbaz said that without marketing, it was "impossible" to get new subscribers and he was rarely able to attract more than 20 customers to a deal. He had about 10,000 subscribers when he shut down his sites in April.

"I shouldn't have followed the gold rush," Mr. Khabbaz said.

Even large websites have run into similar issues. Facebook said it would test its own daily-deals service in April. But it kept its internal daily-deals sales staff small before moving ahead with a bigger launch, said a Facebook spokeswoman. The company had 11 partner sites such as Gilt Groupe Inc.'s Gilt City offering deals through the social network. Yet it wasn't enough of an investment and Facebook last month said it was ending its daily-deals business.

A spokeswoman for Facebook said the company determined it would be better served focusing on other core social experiences instead of daily deals.

Meanwhile, local business-review site Yelp said last month that it would ratchet back its daily-deals business. In a blog post, Yelp Chief Executive Jeremy Stoppelman said the San Francisco company would slash its daily-deals sales staff by half.

In particular, Mr. Stoppelman said users were unhappy when Yelp would email deals in Berkeley, Calif., to subscribers who lived in other nearby cities such as San Francisco.

In contrast, sites such as Groupon and LivingSocial offer hyperlocal deals that can be tailored by neighborhood.

Mr. Stoppelman added that the daily-deals space "faces some real challenges."

A Yelp spokeswoman declined to make Mr. Stoppelman available and declined to comment further.

online.wsj.com



To: stockman_scott who wrote (116)9/20/2011 4:08:23 PM
From: Glenn Petersen1 Recommendation  Respond to of 480
 
Deals Company Valuations Are Plummeting: Report

BY E.B. BoydToday
Fast Company
September 20, 2011

A new study says the daily deals field is glutted with copycats, and it’s up to Groupon and LivingSocial to prove the model works.

Success breeds nothing if not copycats, and few industries have seen more imitators in the last 12 months than the daily deals space. New companies pop up every week, some purporting to specialize in certain niches, others in particular geographies. According to Yipit, 53 new deal sites launched in August alone.

But companies looking for hefty exits might be sobered by a new report on acquisition activity in the deals space. According to the 2010-2011 Daily Deal M&A Activity and Valuation Multiples Report, from CB Insights, the price of acquisitions has been plummeting.

“Since their peak hit just two quarters ago in Q1 2011, the Price per Subscriber and Price per Voucher Sold multiples paid in private company M&A transactions have declined 36% and 40% respectively in Q3 2011,” the report says.

Part of the reason is that there are simply too many companies out there, the report says. As Fast Company pointed out earlier this month, technology is no barrier to entry in this space, and so it’s relatively easy to hang out a shingle. That, says the report, has produced “an oversupply.”

“Many of these companies are at the relatively early stages meaning that subscriber counts, vouchers sold and technological differentiators are insignificant,” the report says. “As a result, many of these firms look alike and are not significantly differentiated from one another. From an acquirer perspective, this provides options and leverage.”

The report did, however, include some observations that could be good news for Groupon, LivingSocial, Google Offers, and Amazon Local. It said the negative press following Groupon’s S-1 filing and the subsequent questions about the financial viability of the space, combined with the glut of deals companies, are making some investors skittish about tossing more money into this industry right now.

“While the technical barriers to entry in the daily deal business are low, scaling the business requires significant amounts of capital,” the report says. “Hiring armies of sales staff and account managers is necessary to develop relationships with merchants, and this is expensive. And so before throwing more money at the daily deal space, investors want to see that the model works.”

All four of those companies have the necessary resources to scale. But the report says the lion’s share of the burden for proving that the industry can work lies largely on Groupon and LivingSocial’s shoulders.

“A successful IPO by either or S-1 filings which show healthy financials and which don’t see universal ridicule by analysts and the media would go a long way in reinstating some faith in the daily deal space,” the report says.

fastcompany.com



To: stockman_scott who wrote (116)9/22/2011 9:03:46 AM
From: Glenn Petersen1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 480
 
LivingSocial may defer their IPO:

LivingSocial Said to Weigh Funding at $6 Billion Rather Than Pursuing IPO

By Douglas MacMillan and Serena Saitto
Bloomberg
Sep 21, 2011 11:01 PM CT

LivingSocial may raise more than $200 million in funding that would give it a valuation of as much as $6 billion, rather than proceeding toward an initial public offering, people with knowledge of the matter said.

The proposed funding round may include both equity and debt, said two people, who asked not to be identified because the talks were private. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is acting as an adviser in the deliberations, they said.

LivingSocial, which was in talks with banks earlier this year about raising $1 billion in an IPO, is reconsidering the prospect amid a stock-market rout that has shaved 13 percent off the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index since July 21. Companies have shelved or scrapped U.S. public offerings at a faster rate in the past three months than the comparable period of any year since 2004, Bloomberg data show.

The private funding round being considered would likely include some of LivingSocial’s existing backers as well as new investors, said two of the people. LivingSocial would reconsider an IPO at a later date even if it raises the funds, according to two people.

Groupon, the daily-coupon leader, delayed its IPO in response to market gyrations, three people familiar with the matter said earlier this month.

Another concern for LivingSocial’s management and investors is a growth slowdown in the market for daily coupons, two of the people said. LivingSocial had fewer weekly unique visitors in August than during the peak in June, research firm ComScore Inc. (SCOR) said last month.

LivingSocial’s Funding Groupon said in June it has never turned a profit, and competitors including Facebook Inc. and Yelp Inc. have closed or pulled back their deal services.

LivingSocial, led by co-founder Tim O’Shaughnessy, raised $400 million in April, valuing the company at $3.5 billion, two people with knowledge of the matter said at the time. It has raised a total of $627 million from investors, including Grotech Ventures, Institutional Venture Partners, T. Rowe Price Group Inc. and e-commerce site Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)

Brendan Lewis, a spokesman for LivingSocial, declined to comment on the company’s funding plans. Tasha Pelio, a spokeswoman for New York-based JPMorgan, also declined to comment.

LivingSocial delivers daily discounts on restaurants, hotels, events, and other goods and services. The daily-deal market may generate $4.17 billion in U.S. sales in 2015, compared with $1.97 billion this year, according to research firm BIA/Kelsey in Chantilly, Virginia.

Chicago-based Groupon may still be able to sell shares before year-end, two people said earlier this month.

To contact the reporters on this story: Douglas MacMillan in San Francisco at dmacmillan3@bloomberg.net; Serena Saitto in New York at ssaitto@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net

bloomberg.com