SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (160921)12/12/2011 5:11:02 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 206100
 
Plan for 24h/d solar power to everyone by 2030:

1. A very-high-voltage transmission line, circling the earth, connecting the deserts of Mexico, Morocco, Turkey, Kazakhstan, India, and either the Gobi or Australian deserts.
2. Smaller high-voltage lines, from that line to all population centers.
3. Excess electricity stored in water reservoirs (2 nearby dams at different heights; run the turbines backward to pump water uphill). Lots of sites available, in Canada, Russia, Africa, South America. For instance, the Yukon river, with a huge flow, is today totally un-dammed.
4. 5-10%/year cost declines for solar, makes solar economic without subsidies 2-5 years from now.
5. The sites in those deserts, where the huge solar parks will be installed, and the transmission lines, will have security jointly guaranteed by the nations buying the electricity.
6. Batteries get cheap and light enough so all-electric and hybrid cars can displace half the oil used for transportation with solar power.
7. The limiting factor in this plan, is not technology or money, but political will. The political will to do this, will be created by the next war in a major oil-producing nation, which could be Nigeria, Mexico, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Iran, or Indonesia.



solarbuzz.com


blogs.scientificamerican.com
Notice, this is a log chart, and doesn't include the last 2 years of huge price declines, which have brought the price to $2/w for some modules.



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (160921)3/18/2013 7:54:07 AM
From: Dennis Roth2 Recommendations  Respond to of 206100
 
Exxon's view to 2040 on energy, the 2013 edition.
exxonmobil.com

54 pages, Key points:

Efficiency will continue to play a key role in solving our energy challenges. Energy-saving practices
and technologies, such as hybrid vehicles and high-efficiency natural gas power plants, will help countries
in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) – including those in North America
and Europe – keep energy use essentially flat even as OECD economic output grows 80 percent.

Energy demand in developing nations (Non OECD) will rise 65 percent by 2040 compared to 2010,
reflecting growing prosperity and expanding economies.
Overall, global energy demand will grow
35 percent, even with significant efficiency gains, as the world’s population expands from about 7 billion
people today to nearly 9 billion people by 2040, led by growth in Africa and India.

With this growth comes a greater demand for electricity. Today, and over the next few decades,
electricity generation represents the largest driver of demand for energy. Through 2040, it will account for
more than half of the increase in global energy demand.

Growth in transportation sector demand will be led by expanding commercial activity as our
economies grow.
However, energy consumed by personal vehicles will gradually peak and then begin to
fall as our cars, sports utility vehicles (SUVs) and small pickup trucks become much more fuel-efficient.

Technology is enabling the safe development of once hard-to-produce energy resources,
significantly expanding available supplies to meet the world’s changing energy needs. Oil will remain the
No. 1 global fuel, while natural gas will overtake coal for the No. 2 spot.
Use of nuclear power and
renewable energy will grow, while demand for coal peaks and then begins a gradual decline.

Evolving demand and supply patterns will open the door for increased global trade opportunities.
Around 2030, the nations of North America will likely transition from a net importer to a net exporter of oil and
oil-based products. The changing energy landscape and the resulting trade opportunities it affords will continue
to provide consumers with more choices, more value, more wealth and more good jobs (see page 44).