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Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ed who wrote (9333)11/22/1997 5:26:00 AM
From: Dwight E. Karlsen  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 97611
 
Good summary, Ed. But, I have read a WSJ article about PC mkt in China, and American PC makers have an uphill battle there. The Chinese people don't have the disposable income Americans have, so 40% penetration rate enjoyed here in the US isn't going to be achieved in China anytime soon. So for those in China who can afford to buy, they buy the very cheapest. The domestic PC mfrs is very competitive, with multitudes of individual players using cut-throat pricing and VERY slim profit margins to capture business. I'm sure CPQ, IBM, Dell, HWP etc will continue to try to sell PCs there, but it's a rough business environment.

Right now I think CPQ is doing the right things by concentrating most in the markets that have the most potential, for example Europe.

India: While you say the PC market is rapidly growing, I hope people realize that the vast majority of the population in India is dirt poor. I've heard talks by missionaries who have spent time there, and let me tell you, Americans would be shocked to realize the depth of poverty there. It's common for buildings even in populated areas to not even have indoor plumbing. There's just an open ditch out back of the buildings. The PC is a great business tool, and I'm sure that the business community in India is indeed upgrading and taking advantage of the new processor power for business tasks. But it's not a market like US, Canada, Europe, etc. It will be decades before Indian economy can support avg household incomes with disposable income to buy PCs.

I just wanted to make these points so people realize that while India has a huge population without PCs, the vast majority simply are too poor to even think of being able to afford such a thing.

DK



To: ed who wrote (9333)11/22/1997 11:18:00 AM
From: Mohan Marette  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97611
 
Compacq aiming for PC Nirvana.

news.com



To: ed who wrote (9333)11/22/1997 12:03:00 PM
From: hpeace  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
I posted the sales per country two weeks ago and it agrees with the
report posted...

Cpq does not leave it's currency management to amatuers that are working for the compnay.
They contract out the job to pros in currency hedgeing.
they also play it extremely safe.
In other words in Japan they would lock in a small loss to gaurantee
they have zero exposure.

If you will check their 10k,10q's it will bear me out on this..
taking an extemely small loss to make sure they are covered.
They aren't like what Dell did in 1993 or 94..gamble alittle and
even get into deriatives that are so complex you can't compute
how you stand without 10 crays clustered together<gg>

Disclaimer: I post this information and other pieces of information
purely in the spirit of SI. I can help on CPQ. I go to other threads where I don't have a close relationship and I benefit from those who do. I also know that in the 16 months of SI. It rubs a very very very few people wrong that I speak with authority on some subjects.
Since MIS mgr's at cpq were involved in absolutely everything and so we were privy to allot of info. They reported to the CFO and the Sr VP's both....so, they were there when most the things happening now
were decided. There are no other reasons here....
I beleive in sowing and reaping..I sow on this thread and I harvest
on other threads. I sorry if my "I was there and this is what really happened ticks some off....But, I'm not one to let those not there write the history books"



To: ed who wrote (9333)11/22/1997 11:55:00 PM
From: chirodoc  Respond to of 97611
 
<<<<<<PC market in each Asian market:

........you and i are both thinking alike--bullish on cpq and unfazed by the asian fears.

........also--europe, canada, mexico, most of latin america are growing.

.........from what i have heard, the growth by cpq in china and india alone will make up for any loss in ASEAN. and, the lower cost of parts should be a slight net positive.

......thanks for the anlalysis