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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TideGlider who wrote (131257)4/26/2012 6:06:17 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps2 Recommendations  Read Replies (10) | Respond to of 224775
 
Rove: Obama has the electoral college lead
By BYRON TAU | 4/26/12 3:55 PM EDT
Republican strategist Karl Rove gives Obama the advantage in his first Electoral College Map polling memo:

In the first Karl Rove & Co. 2012 Electoral College map, there are 18 states (220 Electoral College votes) where Obama has a solid lead and 15 states (93 EC votes) polling solidly for Romney, according to the latest polling average in each state. There are six states with a combined 82 EC votes classified as “toss-­-ups” (IA, FL, MO, NC, SC, VA); five states (MI, NH, NV, OH, PA) with a combined 64 EC votes that “lean” Obama; and six states (AZ, GA, KY, SD, TN, TX) with a combined 79 EC votes that “lean” Romney. In other words, there are 17 states and a total of 225 Electoral College votes up for grabs.

Top line math: that's 284 "safe" or "lean" Obama, versus 157 "safe" or "lean" Romney states.

"These projections will change as more polls are conducted in the coming weeks," Rove warns.