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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: epicure who wrote (187780)4/29/2012 2:05:48 AM
From: bentway  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 543847
 
" We did not lose them because of Obama's "turn to the right". "

I agree. The way I see it, we lost them because Obama had an agenda laid out - pass health care reform, BEFORE the Bush global economic collapse happened. Rather than dealing with the economy as his ONLY job, which he perhaps should have done, he proceeded with the agenda. Perhaps a rookie mistake - only time will tell.



To: epicure who wrote (187780)4/29/2012 1:45:37 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Respond to of 543847
 
We lost tjhem cuz Obama went right. he let them down. He didn't fight for them. 10 million of them stayed home in 2010.


Democrats lost big because young voters stayed home

I basically agree with Kevin Drum's take on the overall election results: Most of the losses were predicted by structural factors, but not all of them. Democrats lost at least 15 more seats than the basic model would've predicted, and though you can try and explain that away (they were holding seats because of a demographically unique election in 2008, or the model doesn't account for extreme economic conditions), it's not really worth doing: Democrats lost a lot of seats. Even more than the economic conditions would've predicted.

The question, of course, is why. And the basic answer is that Republican groups came out to vote and Democratic groups didn't. The exit polls tell the story:



The gender breakdown didn't change much. And nor did the racial breakdown. But the age of the electorate changed dramatically: Seniors went from 16 percent in 2008 to 23 percent in 2010, while voters between 18 and 29 fell from 18 percent in 2008 to 11 percent in 2009. Seniors, of course, are the most conservative voters -- they were the only age group to back John McCain in 2008. And young voters are the most liberal. They were the only age group that favored Democrats yesterday.

There's going to be a lot of soul-searching among Democrats after this election. Most of it will be about whether they should've been more liberal or more conservative, more ambitious or more modest, more confident or more empathic. But perhaps the most important question isn't what they could've done to make more Americans like them, but what they could've done to get more young voters to the polls.

voices.washingtonpost.com