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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Sam who wrote (56375)

5/19/2012 2:39:59 PM

From: Return to Sender

Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95757

On May 9th ECRI said that the recession will not be recognized until the end of the year.

businesscycle.com

None of us is capable of forecasting a recession based on data already available to us. It really does not matter if ECRI can. It does not matter if they are right or wrong.

What matters is taking advantage of a potentially awesome buying opportunity ahead.

When will you know it has arrived?

The VIX will have spiked tremendously higher and then hit lower highs on lower lows in the market. We are not there yet:

And the Investors Intelligence Poll will have had more bears than bulls. Again, we are not there yet.

schaeffersresearch.com

Date Published	Percent Bullish	Percent Bearish
05/16	39.4	22.3
05/09	38.7	20.4
05/02	43	20.4
04/25	41.9	23.7
04/18	44.1	23.7
04/11	48.4	21.5
04/04	52.7	21.5
03/28	50.5	22.6
03/21	48.4	23.6
03/14	43.6	26.6
03/07	47.9	26.6
02/29	51.1	25.5
02/22	51.1	26.6
02/15	54.8	25.8
02/08	52.1	28.7
02/01	48.9	29.8
01/25	50	28.7
01/18	50	29.8
01/11	51.1	29.8
01/04	49.5	30.5