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Pastimes : Plastics to Oil - Pyrolysis and Secret Catalysts and Alterna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: 1Coffeehound who wrote (24760)5/22/2012 2:25:51 AM
From: Steady_onRead Replies (5) | Respond to of 53574
 
Again.....If you have better numbers post them.

It is called a discussion. That is where people compare different views of the same situation. I said I have satisfied myself.

Post your numbers and we can discuss the differences and the assumptions involved.

I haven't suggested that you are unethical for disagreeing, but I will say that you have offered nothing to suggest that my estimates are wrong. If you have estimates that you feel are more accurate, let's see them.

Just to review.

At an input rate of 2000 lbs/hr over a 24 hr day that is 48000lbs.

At a conversion rate of 86% that is 41280 lbs for fuel.

41280 lbs of fuel * 7.8 lbs/gal for #6 = 5292 gals of #6 per day.

Note I used #6 which weighs more than other fuels per gal, so if the output mix included naphtha and #2 fuel oil the volume produced goes up.

5292 gals / 42 gals/bbl = 126 bbls per day.

At $10 /bbl cost that means that JBI has $1260 per day to pay for the costs of operations, labor, amortization etc.

At $20 hr for 2 people 24 hrs/day = $960 per day. that leaves $300 per day to pay for other costs.

As soon as the Solid Waste permit is approved that amount of fuel produced will double. The labor costs will not double, nor will amortization costs.

This is for one machine only. There is good reason to think that 2 people can handle 3 machines so the labor costs will be spread across three time the production. Even if another person has to be added to each shift the labor costs will still be well within the $10/bbl production costs.

Let's say I'm wrong by 50%. The cost per bbl is $15. That means that JBI has $ 1890/day to defray costs.

Now, if you think these numbers are in error, show me where and show what numbers you think are more appropriate.