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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: KyrosL who wrote (199549)8/31/2012 4:40:29 PM
From: epicure  Respond to of 542019
 
I was going to go look that up- thanks for saving me the trouble!



To: KyrosL who wrote (199549)8/31/2012 6:50:28 PM
From: Sam  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 542019
 
I wondered how that worked. My bolding below.

Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) -- The odds that President Barack Obama will be re-elected on Nov. 6 rose to 56.8 percent after the Republicans concluded their nominating convention, according to online prediction market Intrade.

Obama’s odds, at 10:21 a.m. New York time, compared with a 43.3 percent chance for a victory by Republican nominee Mitt Romney, according to bets made at the Dublin-based bookmaker. Obama’s chances increased from 55.7 percent yesterday, while Romney’s dropped slightly from 43.4 percent. The highest odds for Obama this year were 61.4 percent on March 12 and again on April 16.

In his speech last night accepting the nomination, Romney reached out to disaffected Obama supporters, framing the election as a choice between visions of the role of government in America. Acceptance speeches, broadcast during prime-time television hours, offer candidates a chance to set their image and themes going into the final months of the presidential election.

All Intrade contracts pay out $10 for winners, so a price of $5.68 implies a 56.8 percent chance.


Read more: sfgate.com



To: KyrosL who wrote (199549)9/4/2012 5:45:35 PM
From: KyrosL  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 542019
 
Intrade -- Before the Democratic convention.

Obama 58.2 Romney 41.7