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To: Ed Ajootian who wrote (177543)3/30/2013 9:06:38 AM
From: Bridge Player3 Recommendations  Respond to of 206154
 
Ed, what are the politics of restarting coal plants should nat gas move higher than $4? Will Obama and the EPA allow plants currently shut down to restart without prohibitively expensive modifications?



To: Ed Ajootian who wrote (177543)3/30/2013 9:50:04 AM
From: Bearcatbob  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206154
 
Ed et al, does the stronger gas price signal a bottom for coal stocks?



To: Ed Ajootian who wrote (177543)3/30/2013 11:19:23 AM
From: quehubo2 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206154
 
The coal generation ceiling on NG prices has numerous varying factors. How much coal generation will be available to switch back on in response to higher ng prices each year remains a big question. How much for all of the incremental O&M costs for coal plants that get upgraded is another.

Short term though I suspect any spike in NG prices will be met with less ng generation demand and more ng production.

This time last year $2 NG was transformed away through peaking plants. This year $4 plus NG in my area and we are not generating.

Not so long ago there was a loud widespread conviction that NG would be $7+ forever and they were proved wrong. Sooner or later demand will get way ahead of supply for awhile.



To: Ed Ajootian who wrote (177543)3/30/2013 11:46:21 AM
From: Sweet Ol1 Recommendation  Respond to of 206154
 
Ed, I wonder about gas to coal switching at $4 when Obama's minions are doing everything they can to eliminate coal burning. There may be an environmental regulation cost in there somewhere.

Just a thought.

Blessings,

JRH



To: Ed Ajootian who wrote (177543)3/30/2013 1:40:36 PM
From: JimisJim1 Recommendation  Respond to of 206154
 
To be fair, robry's call is not for a sustained price move for ng, but seems more of a one-time spike...