To: Tim J. Flick who wrote (6865 ) 12/4/1997 10:18:00 PM From: Zebra 365 Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 31646
New warrants were not issued. In your post you wrote: <<<Also, these warrants that were given out (95,000) I would bet my bottom dollar will be converted and sold as soon as possible.>>> You probably already checked back but I wanted to make it clear that the 95,500 warrants I mentioned were a penalty only if the S-3 was filed late. As it has only been 2 weeks since the PP, I cannot imagine that the S-3 is late. <<<The time of registration is usually part of the deal and, as noted below, there will be 10% (95,500) additional warrants issued if the company fails to register on time. The S-3 of 10-17-97 was 17 days late and cost a late penalty of 44,000 shares, they are not going to be late with this one.>>> I agree with your statement about supply, demand and frontrunning. I'm sure the quick registration was a condition of the deal. When I look at the stock price and the fundamentals building I conclude that there may be another reason that the PP participants wanted quick registration. Look at the curve of other Y2K companies over the past year. In many there was a quick overshoot in price from "market discovery" and then an equally quick collapse, albeit in the non-ZITL companies, i.e. the ones with real contracts, the price fell to a higher plateau than pre-spike. My point is that if I had just bought 100,000 shares of TPRO in the PP, and the stock started to shoot up on momentum in a week or two, I would be tearing my hair out wanting to sell at least some at the top of the overshoot. Without CBOE options or shorting available, the only way to lock in profit would be to sell, and the shares have to be registered for that. I might like the company, but if this stock shot up to 50-70 on total buying panic like ZITL did a year ago, I'm cashed out. I'm not predicting it, but have seen it happen to other stocks in similar circumstances, and so has anyone who can plunk down a million dollars on a penny stock. I just think it's unlikely that anyone would go throught the DD of a private placement, just to buy the stock at $5.50 in order to turn around and sell or short at $6.25-75. So whether the stock is registered or not, I doubt it will hit the market as selling pressure before we see double digits. But you are right, who bought it is an important piece of the puzzle. Zebra