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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dennis Roth who wrote (178684)6/19/2013 9:21:05 AM
From: Dennis Roth1 Recommendation

Recommended By
LoneClone

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206160
 
Noble Energy Inc (NBL)
Alert: Gunflint Appraisal Results In Line With Expectations
14 June 2013 ¦ 8 pages ir.citi.com

Gunflint Appraisal Results Confirm Gross Resource Of 65-90 MMBOE... –
Noble announced that the second appraisal well at its Gunflint (NBL 31% WI)
discovery in the offshore the Gulf of Mexico encountered 109 feet of net pay within
the primary target. Appraisal results confirm an estimated gross resource range of
65-90 MMBOE in the primary structure, which was in line with expectations. The
Mississippi Canyon 992 #1 well, located one mile west of the original discovery well
(see Figure 1), was drilled to a total depth of ~32,800 feet and will be suspended for
future use once operations are completed. Commercial hydrocarbons were not
encountered in a deeper objective but additional exploration potential remains in an
adjacent three-way structure to the north. Further, the appraisal results solidify plans
for a subsea tieback development with sanctioning expected later this year. Along
with Big Bend, Noble now has two projects in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico with first
production expected by the end of 2015.

...With An Estimated Value of ~$0.60-$0.80 Per Share – Based on the estimated
65-90 MMBOE gross resource and ~$12.00/BOE of net present value, we value
Gunflint at ~$200-300mm, or ~$0.60-0.80 per share to Noble, net of royalties. We
would note that the net cost of drilling the Gunflint appraisal was ~$15mm, which
will be expensed in Q2’13. Our total net risked sum-of-the-parts NAV for Noble
remains ~$70.00 per share.

Troubadour Is Next On The Gulf Of Mexico Drilling Slate –
Following Gunflint,
Noble plans to move the drilling rig to the deepwater Gulf of Mexico Troubadour
prospect (NBL 88% WI), which offsets its Big Bend discovery. Troubadour should
then reach total depth (TD) in late Q3’13. Meanwhile, following the Karish well
results offshore Israel last month (see our May 22nd note), the Ensco 5006 rig has
moved to Cyprus to drill the Aphrodite 2 appraisal well (NBL 70% WI) with results
expected within 3-4 months. Elsewhere, results are expected from the Diega
appraisal well offshore West Africa in Q3’13, the Paraiso prospect offshore
Nicaragua in Q3’13, and Noble’s N.E Nevada tight oil play by YE13. Also, the Alen
field development offshore Equatorial Guinea is on track for first oil in Q3’13. Finally,
following rig arrival at YE13, Noble will pursue a deep oil test at Leviathan. See
Figure 2 for a summary of the company’s upcoming exploration prospects.

Reiterate Buy Rating –
And $65.00 per share 12-month price target.