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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (104829)3/6/2014 12:30:58 PM
From: bruiser98  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 221723
 
Two articles from Jesse's sidebar. I tend to trust the Russian press over American media on this issue. Evidently Jesse and Paul Craig Roberts do also.

Ukraine: Secretive Neo-Nazi Military Organization Involved in Euromaidan Snyper Shootings

globalresearch.ca

BREAKING Leaked Phone Tape: Ukrainian Sniper Attack Was a False Flag Operation

economicpolicyjournal.com



To: TobagoJack who wrote (104829)3/6/2014 2:26:42 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu1 Recommendation

Recommended By
see clearly now

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 221723
 
Was thinking about the brutal but well planed move of Russia to subdue Ukraine and force it within its own command economy and by this have total control over Europe energy needs.

I do think there was some gross miscalculation and act out of obvious weakness without truly reading the actual political map and assuming that the EU are a bunch of wimps (which IMHO the EU leaders indeed are).

Now lets analyse the longer term effects and is shows trough the financial markets that Moscow miscalculated.

1. What the Russian action did inflicted great scare into Russian neighbors who now look forward to re-arm themselves at a higher speed - result arm manufacturer share rose, due to the anticipated business
2. This development will force Russia to spend more on useless military hardware and and drain an already weak economy.
3. Russian action and the prospect of economic sanction will now scare away any Western company to invest in Russia or as it is with many EU consumer goods companies to establish manufacturing subsidiaries with in Russia and by this generating much needed jobs and providing know how.
4 Russia will continue to impart what they are not producing and the taxes on the added value of the products instead of being collected by the Russian treasury will be collected by the export countries - big loss for Russia
5. The public image of Russia world wide deteriorated substantially and suspicion of anything with Russia grew substantially - net result shrinking sphere of influence less bilateral trades and profitable deals
6. Europe got a clear signal that they cannot relay on Russia as their biggest energy supplier, they will establish new LNG terminals to import NG not form Russia but form around the world including E. Mediterranean Azerbaijan Turkmenistan Australia and Persian Gulf.
7. Nabbucco pipeline will spring to life and anticipate more Western pressure on removing Assad and building pipeline form the Persian Gulf to Mediterraneans shores
8. Sanctions and Money Laundering lawsuits will weaken the influential circle in Russia as their assets my come under scrutinized actions and most will not be so welcome as in the past
9 The weakening of the Rubble, the lack of FDI which will shrink substantially will generate local inflation and discontent with those that live on pensions (from age 55 for women) and other salaried workers which will breed discontent and even possible political pressure for change -- e.g the macho guy will indeed lose his shirt at the end.
10. Now I understand the EU why they where so reluctant to give Yanukovich the 15 billion - they smelled a rat he would have taken the money empower himself and move to Russian sphere of influence.
11. Ukraine is a big country about 47 million people they all feel disdain for the present Russian government including many Ethnic Russian within Ukraine - those people will not but any Russian products or even raw materials except it is only necessary like NG, from Russia and therefore Russia lost a substantial market.
12. EU will supply also Ukraine with NG from their imports of LNG and anticipated pipelines and by this remove the final dependence of Ukraine on Russia
13. Anticipate that the old plans of placing US rocketry on E. Europe soil will resurface and NATO establishing a base around Odessa and in Western Ukraine.
14. As a result the currencies of NG exporters and military hardware manufacturers rose and
15. The EUR already ignored the Ukrainian crisis.

ALL in ALL longer term bad calculation for no economic gain and wrong choosing of partner for the GRAND DREAM of GRAND RUSSIA and re-implementing Katherine the Great imperialistic doctrine.

IMHO Kathrine was of Prussian origin and if I recollect correctly other Prussians wanted to build empires by the rule of brutal use of cannons, or rifle or swords.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (104829)3/6/2014 10:03:37 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 221723
 
Shirtless Putin - Der Spiegel article - Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin: Russian craving a photo worth 1000 words
Putin and the Russian national pride: The top gold chain carrier
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/putin-und-russlands-nationalstolz-die-fleischhauer-kolumne-a-957220.html
Commodities, nothing more. So he has to show off so.



As an industrial nation in the usual sense can not be called Russia the best of intentions. Or someone falls any product made ??in Russiaone, that would be for the world market? Okay, the Kalashnikov. But even lie down now only third world countries to which can not afford anything Recent.Otherwise, the country lives from its raw materials . As far as the economic base, Russia is thus on a par with Nigeria - a kind of Africa with nuclear weapons , if you will.