SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Politics of Energy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wharf Rat who wrote (53565)6/7/2014 1:12:16 AM
From: Sdgla  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86355
 
Killing the Coal ind and the medical industry ... the results are in :

A good observation from Steve Kates at the Catallacy Files in Australia, on the dismal U.S. labor force participation rate, and how Australia risks following the U.S.:

US – five years into its 20 year lost decade

The Japanese have had a twenty year lost decade following their own Keynesian stimulus….

And we could end up with the same kind of outcome if we don’t get on top of our debt and reduce unproductive spending. Decline is slow, and not everyone becomes poor, but in the end as a nation, we are less well off and the way out becomes more difficult every year….

Doug Ross provides this chart (taking into account numbers released this morning) and commentary:



Did you notice it?

Adjusted for seasonality, the labor force participation rate (LFR) has never increased — not once — under Obama! Normalized by month, the LFR has been on a non-stop ride to progressive Utopia (i.e., full unemployment).

This is a stunning repudiation of the Obama economic agenda. Stunning.


5.00 / 5 51 / 52 / 53 / 54 / 55 / 5
5 votes, 5.00 avg. rating (98% score)



To: Wharf Rat who wrote (53565)6/7/2014 12:52:27 PM
From: Brumar891 Recommendation

Recommended By
Hawkmoon

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86355
 
NOAA IS Losing Colder Station Data

Posted on June 7, 2014 by stevengoddard

The FILNET adjustment is much worse than it seems.

USHCN is losing station data a phenomenal rate since 1990, and they are filling in the missing data with temperatures higher than the station data which is not missing. The rationale for this would have to be that the missing station data was from stations which were warmer than average.

I put that to the test by comparing 1940-1989 data for stations which have missing 1990-2013 data, versus those with complete 1990-2013 station data. It turns out that the stations losing data are actually colder than the ones with complete records. So the FILNET adjustment is creating warming, when it should be creating cooling.




To: Wharf Rat who wrote (53565)6/7/2014 12:54:12 PM
From: Brumar891 Recommendation

Recommended By
Hawkmoon

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86355
 
USHCN Temperature Adjustments Are Not Credible

Posted on June 6, 2014 by stevengoddard

About 40% of the reported USHCN station data is now fabricated from no raw data at that station.



Zeke says that USHCN temperature fabrications of 40% of the data are golden, and my method of averaging the actual measured data is incorrect. Let’s put that to the test.

My approach (red below) closely matches satellite data (blue) and the USHCN method (green) doesn’t. Raw data and satellite data show almost no net warming since 1990, while NCDC adjusted data shows about 0.2C warming.



As stations disappear exponentially, the adjustments increase exponentially (graph below.) It is simply not credible that a set of random errors in a data set could produce such a pattern. Random errors produce bell shaped curves, not exponential curves. The only error in the data set which should produce a deterministic trend is UHI, and that would produce the exact opposite slope of adjustments.



Some people are heavily vested in a methodology which fails the most fundamental tests of credibility.