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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: greatplains_guy who wrote (70951)	11/9/2014 1:42:48 AM
From: DuckTapeSunroof	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 71588

Re: "Peter has commented repeatedly that he favors split power. I think he has a point. It is interesting to see you agreeing with him." (I'm simply pointing out the HISTORICAL RECORD - as I have here many times over many years. The record is what it is... regardless of whomever 'favors' one thing or the other. Perhaps a better way of expressing the investment markets' preference is to say that the investment markets react well to PREDICTABILITY, and do not like uncertainty. One Party control means there are lesser limitations on government taking action. Divided government means lesser freedom to act... and thus is more predictable.) Re: "I would not trust trends purporting to show trends from 12 / 6 / 4 periods. You might want to question them as well. The longest trend in there is the House. The shortest is the Senate with only four full terms during the period. Overlaying a trendline over four data points is remarkably unreliable." You are wise to note the scantness of data points (especially for some of the concatenations)! That is a well-known weakness found in a lot of statistical political science analysis.