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To: robert b furman who wrote (19476)12/15/2014 12:01:30 PM
From: Fintas  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41629
 
Don't let the benefits of lower crude twick ya. There are many consequences not mentioned to those lower crude prices and those that tied to the hip of higher crude.

The concern is not a recession. The concern is DEFLATION.

And with that comes the bonus of not just going down but STAYING down in a range for YEARS.

I'm on record.. I can see 1512-1836 for YEARS.

That could mean a TSLA stock sits in a 90-150 for YEARS.

BWDIK

Fintas



To: robert b furman who wrote (19476)12/15/2014 12:15:39 PM
From: Fintas  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41629
 
Bob.. My good cyber friend Toco put up something to consider re lower crude.

So has ISOPATCH on JOHN P's board.

Fintas

In a deflationary boom where commodities are dropping like a rock can temper/reduce expenses of companies and increase profit margins in the short-term. As long as their price of their product/service doesn't spiral downwards too. Those companies that can control prices of their products/services will do well. I'm looking for those.

A deflationary boom can easily become a bust. The falling prices of crude is a trojan horse as far as I'm concerned. It may seem that way initially benefiting the consumer and the income -- a tax cut. Enjoy while it lasts. But over time we could be importing deflation and that would be very bad. It's already in Japan and in Europe the clouds of deflation are gaining a permanent foothold. I'm not very impressed with Draghi or the ECB.

Tocco



To: robert b furman who wrote (19476)12/15/2014 1:00:03 PM
From: POKERSAM  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 41629
 
Bob - I don't quit understand your first paragraph. Here is the LT chart again.
I also suggest that you look into the reasons for low oil prices. IMO Saudi Arabia has reduced prices to stop fracking and any move toward oil independence in the US and to hurt Russia. It is a two for one.
Take another look at my chart and use my labels to explain your case.



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