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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kirk © who wrote (2930)3/21/2015 6:54:09 PM
From: Investor2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27104
 
nice chart



To: Kirk © who wrote (2930)3/21/2015 10:21:59 PM
From: yaetmo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 27104
 
Them charts are impressive, but only tell part of the story.

Kirk, I know over the years you have stated this around one's core holdings, but many people fail to realize the effect of dividends ( or interest ) and their compounding.

In one of my Dad's accounts, there is a holding of an initial $10,000 of SNXFX ( Schwab 1000 fund ) that he bought in Aug 1999, which appears to have sat untouched ever since. By NAV alone, its worth $15,000 today. With compounded dividend reinvestment, it's worth $22,000.

I personally have some Schwab 500 Fund that I bought in late1998 that has similar gain factor, even with a couple of sells/buys over the years buried in the numbers. Not saying this never went under-water, but while I was hearing the lip-flappers on the news complaining for years about first the market still being down ( NAV wise ), then being flat for a decade, I was in smiles being well north into the green.

Charting Programs don't seem offer up charts that show this. IMO, they are doing an injustice to long term core holdings by not doing so. Investment House fund charts do show a "value of $10,000" over set periods of time, but none will show this over long periods of time.



To: Kirk © who wrote (2930)3/21/2015 11:54:15 PM
From: Fintas  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27104
 
Kirk in a word. NOPE:

Actually I put up some observations about the TNX and the Dollar. I did such see what others were considering.

NO. I do NOT expect the SPX to drop 250 before 2500. Meaning it can push up a bit. I'm long stated on such.

I think I've been pretty clear 2134/2188 and if I wanted I could push 2242 or the 2280.


Regardless I've also put up some value boxes that do NOT support a straight shot to 2500. IN fact I've been bold enough to say it's IMPOSSIBLE to go to SPX 2500 without the retrace of a certain value boxes. I still believe such.

Then again I didn't expected MSFT to go straight to 60 or UPS to 125. While expecting CAT to drop to 80 again.

So thanks for the chart.

You didn't put up what you are considering re SPX for this year.

Fintas