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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kirk © who wrote (3251)	7/10/2015 3:27:08 PM
From: robert b furman	1 Recommendation Recommended By FJB Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 26755

Hi Kirk, I just voted. Raising rates will strengthen the Dollar - I don't think Yellen wants that. That's why I think it will be longer and into early 2016. If they wait too long into 2016 - the elections will near. I don't think they want to bump rates near the elections either. Bob

To: Kirk © who wrote (3251)

7/11/2015 1:47:14 PM

From: 1610lsd

1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Kirk ©

Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26755


*FED EASE PROBABILITIES*
Data below from CME Group Fed Watch
www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/fed-funds.ht
	*** * * ***		*** * * ***
This CME Data shows what Fed Funds Traders are pricing
future contract dates PROBABILITY of a FF RATE HIKE. . .
Recent contract history near the markets open displayed below ….
	SEPT 17 Rate Hike		DEC 16 Rate Hike		JAN 27 Rate Hike
7/10	14%	$99.835	47%	$99.720	60%	$99.675
7/9	9%	$99.845	40%	$99.740	55%	$99.695
7/8	9%	$99.845	40%	$99.740	56%	$99.695
7/7	9%	$99.845	42%	$99.735	57%	$99.685
7/6	12%	$99.840	46%	$99.725	61%	$99.675
Above Avg=	11%	$99.842	43%	$99.732	58%	$99.685
Wkly Avgs below					2016
	SEPT 17 MTG		DEC 16 MTG		JAN 27 MTG
Jly 03	13%		52%		68%
Jun 26	17%		56%		71%
Jun 19	23%		61%		75%
Jun 12	32%		69%		81%
Jun 05	26%		61%		74%
May 29	26%		60%		74%
May 22	21%		54%		75%
May 15	22%		55%

*8 Week Avg=*	23%		59%		74%