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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: neolib who wrote (284674)	12/4/2015 8:52:06 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 541893

It is only faith if you delude yourself about your odds I don't want to beat a dead horse. So I am going to explain this as clearly as I can and then you can have the last word. You most of the time you do not know your odds and in many case you cannot know your odds no matter how much research you do. It boils down to these few simple facts: (1) There is always a measurement error. Even when you can estimate that error, you often cannot be certain about the effect that error will have on the outcome. (2) There is always noise, misinformation, false positives, etc. Again, you do not usually have a handle on these and most of the time you cannot have a handle on them. (3) In the rare cases that you can know everything that you need to know about something, you do not have enough time to do a perfect job and will end up having to deal with what you have at hand. As an engineer I can tell that these are the facts of life we deal with everyday. You think you punch in the numbers into the computer and they will spit out the answer. But real engineers know that the same computer and the program could give you different answers in different times. The reason most people don't see that is because they make the round off larger than the error. ST