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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kirk © who wrote (71487)2/8/2016 1:28:22 PM
From: The Ox1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Woody_Nickels

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95397
 
It's difficult to say. I couldn't believe that they would be so foolish to announce creating book stores at this point in their life. Creating brick and mortar?



To: Kirk © who wrote (71487)2/8/2016 5:37:17 PM
From: Return to Sender2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Gottfried
Woody_Nickels

  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 95397
 
I would not put AAPL in the same group as Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and even Alphabet(Google).

AAPL has a P/E of just over 10 and actually pays a dividend. The P/E ratios of those other four stocks are:

FB 77
AMZN 390
NFLX 297
GOOGL is the lowest at 29

These high flying stocks may eventually have a lot more upside but one of the things you can count on in a bear market is that basically 90% of all stocks, in every group, will get slammed. Bear markets don't care about valuations either. AAPL will likely fall a lot more as well. Probably not as much.

Sentiment is something you are doing a great job of tracking Kirk. That's good but if you would also include more detail on market breadth and volume you will probably be able to totally nail the next major market bottom. I am not giving up on us being able to do that.

What I am saying is that it has not happened yet. Overly bearish sentiment is always seen at market bottoms but bear markets don't end with a bang. They end with a whimper when no one wants to even own stocks anymore. Volume usually hits all time highs at market tops and then accelerates with indecision.

That followed by periods where selling volume outweighs buying volume until volume is much lower than normal. Eventually the market bottoms when sellers are exhausted and buying begins in force.

Look for that 9-1 upside day on higher volume than the previous downside trend for all the major averages. Maybe even a couple of 8-1 days in close succession instead but it has to happen for all the major averages for a real long term bottom.

Anyway, we ain't there yet. How low are we going?

No idea... but whatever rallies that take place until we get that kind of bottom will fail.

JMHO, RtS