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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jurgis Bekepuris who wrote (57086)4/4/2016 8:36:45 AM
From: Micah Lance  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 78653
 
Are you looking to invest more in energy and banks over the next few months? I am keeping my eye on those two sectors personally.

Oil companies have their credit facilities reassessed over the next month, so I would expect quite a few companies have their credit facilities significantly reduced which would cause the smaller, over-leveraged companies to default. I'm surprised there's been so few defaults already since not much has changed in the oil market in the past year.

If there is a credit event in oil, I think banks get smacked no matter how exposed they are b/c the sentiment will be there as banks have already seen a pretty big decline due to oil fears.

If something like this does happen, I think both of these sectors could show some pretty great value. I'm already invested in a few banks, and am waiting for more opportunities in banking and energy.

Best,

Micah



To: Jurgis Bekepuris who wrote (57086)5/8/2016 11:04:14 AM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris1 Recommendation

Recommended By
walterenergy

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78653
 
My top (>2%) positions in no particular order: FRFHF, BRKB, JPM, LSXMA, DISCK, TESB.BE, EXOSF, MKL, AAPL
In: LSXMA - LMCA spinoff
Out:

Fixed income: 0%
Cash: 17%
Sectors (kinda): Insurance(FRFHF, BRK, MKL): 29%, Malone/media: 13%, Banks: 5%, Oil: 5%, Tech: 3%, Various owner-operators (not included in other categories): 16%

New positions:
Positions increased: LMCK, BATRK,
Positions reduced: Nanocap A, Nanocap C, DNR
Positions eliminated: SWTF, BRS bond, DNR bond
Flip-flop:

Sold BRS bond on runup + H225 fleet grounding and CHC bankruptcy.
Sold DNR bond on runup and institutional recap into second lien bonds.

Sold SWTF common received from Swift Energy BK proceedings. ~5% of par.
Sold some of the tiny remaining DNR common position.

LMCA split into LSXMA, LMCA and BATRA. Added a bit of LMCK and BATRK.