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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Graham Osborn who wrote (57324)5/29/2016 4:02:54 PM
From: Spekulatius1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Jurgis Bekepuris

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78740
 
What have LC and ONDK problems have to do with anything? They are marginal players. I feel like LC lost it when hey went for a facilitator to a guarantor and became a trash credit finance company. I don't even know ONDK and I Think they are totally irrelevant.

I know you have a view of a credit contraction.We did have a mini freeze in the credit market to anything energy related a few month ago (I was a heavy buyer of junk credits and assorted MLP's back then ) , but the has eased significantly since then.

I always cringe when I hear "secular" trends of anything,. I think it is a stupid way to forgo profits. Even we lose a lot of money.



To: Graham Osborn who wrote (57324)8/13/2016 7:48:05 PM
From: Graham Osborn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78740
 
I took a good long look at TBNC the past few days. It seems to me a very conservatively run bank, probably about as good as it gets. I like that they have some geographic diversification in their dental loan portfolio. ROE, tangible book growth, assets/ equity, capital ratios look great. But at the end of the day I am just asking myself - do I really want to own a business where I am taking depositor capital and loaning it out at not spectacular rates for industrial and real estate development projects? Intuition says that I want to be in a business like that near the beginning of a cycle rather than the end. Maybe I am unnecessarily critical of banks, but I think Graham was too. I seem to recall him describing them as primarily speculative in nature and not suited for the defensive non-professional investor.

For those interested in playing regional banks however, I'll note this one would be a prime target for consolidation with its strong balance sheet and cheapness. The trust business seems like it might be an attractive bolt-on for a competitor.