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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Brumar89 who wrote (938025)6/3/2016 1:18:35 PM
From: Brumar891 Recommendation

Recommended By
PKRBKR

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1574005
 
Elon Musk: Humanity “Probably” Living in a Matrix like Computer Simulation

Eric Worrall / 9 hours ago June 2, 2016

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

Green Entrepreneur Elon Musk has claimed that it is almost certain that we all live in a Matrix style computer simulation. But there is a vital piece missing from his conjecture.

Now, 40 years later we have photorealistic, 3D simulations with millions of people playing simultaneously, and it’s getting better every year. Soon we’ll have virtual reality, augmented reality.

If you assume any rate of improvement at all, then the games will become indistinguishable from reality, even if that rate of advancement drops by a thousand from what it is now. Then you just say, okay, let’s imagine it’s 10,000 years in the future, which is nothing on the evolutionary scale.

So given that we’re clearly on a trajectory to have games that are indistinguishable from reality, and those games could be played on any set-top box or on a PC or whatever, and there would probably be billions of such computers or set-top boxes, it would seem to follow that the odds we’re in base reality is one in billions.

Read more: http://www.breitbart.com/tech/2016/06/02/elon-musk-one-in-billions-chance-we-arent-living-in-a-matrix-style-computer-simulation/

So what is the flaw with Elon Musk’s theory?

Lets call Musks’s conjecture theory one, and consider some other theories (from a previous post). See if you can pick the odd one out.

2. The buildup of anthropogenic carbon dioxide may lead to dangerous climate change, not because CO2 is a particularly powerful greenhouse gas, but because the slight warming caused by excess CO2 will cause sea water to evaporate, filling the atmosphere with water vapour. Water vapour is a far more powerful greenhouse gas than CO2. The evaporation of water vapour will trigger a chain reaction, a runaway greenhouse effect, in which global warming caused by the evaporation of ever increasing amounts of sea water forces yet more sea water to evaporate. In Dr. James Hansen’s words, “The oceans will begin to boil”.

3. We have already been visited by aliens, who most likely continue to monitor us. The alternative is to believe the preposterous proposition that we are the only intelligent life inhabiting any of the planets circling our galaxy’s 100 billion stars. The reason this must be true – all we have to do is look in the mirror. In a few decades, or at most a few centuries, humans will have the technology to mass produce and launch tiny space probes. Probes which can visit other stars, and transmit information back to us.

Such probes are already on the drawing board.

NASA Relativistic Interstellar Laser Launcher: We could do it NOW, for the cost of the NASA Climate Budget

Since the probes we shall build will be incredibly small, it will be possible to launch them at relativistic velocities, for trivial economic cost. Scientists have even discovered ways such probes could be steered and decelerated as they approach their destination, using the Galactic magnetic field.

If just one group of intelligent aliens in our galaxy of 100 billion stars reached our level of technology, at least half a million years ago, and made the decision to send out such space probes, then there has already been enough time for their high speed probes to reach our star system, and report back what they found.

4. Human lives are in danger right now, from asteroids and comets flying through space. As the shock advent of the Chelyabinsk meteor demonstrated, Earth can be struck unexpectedly at any time by meteors and other space bodies, many of which have the potential to cause widespread devastation. The Chelyabinsk meteor detonated with a force of 500 kilotons of TNT – it is only due to good fortune that the explosion, which caused some buildings to collapse and widespread damage and injuries from breaking glass, did not cause serious loss of life.

See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chelyabinsk_meteor

Which theory stands out from the other theories? The answer of course is the fourth theory. Unlike the other theories, the theory that the Earth is at risk of being struck by a dangerous meteor is based on observational evidence. The other theories, however compelling they seem, are just conjecture.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/06/02/elon-musk-humanity-probably-living-in-a-matrix-like-computer-simulation/

Terry Gednalske says:

June 2, 2016 at 10:46 pm
If we are living in a simulated world, then even if using fossil fuels is “harmful”, we are not really harming anything real!

[ We only THINK we're using FF's. They aren't real, just sim FF's. ]

Analitik says:
June 3, 2016 at 2:29 am

All 3 are more plausible than Tesla and SolarCity ever being profitable without subsidies.

His virtual reality concept is actually the “Better Than Life” scenario from Red Dwarf by Grant Naylor. Just another example where Enron/L Ron Musk is not the innovator he pretends to be.

Reality will smack him hard when his ponzi schemes fold after the election.

charles nelson says:
June 3, 2016 at 1:20 am
Elon Musk has received 4.9 BILLION dollars of taxpayers money, which makes him a lot cleverer than most of us.
I think he might be onto something here.

Reply
AndyG55 says:

June 3, 2016 at 2:58 am

I think he should be asked to pay a substantial percentage of that back.

He has plenty, courtesy of the US taxpayer,

Its well passed time he was called to account for that money.

Reply

Analitik says:
June 3, 2016 at 4:01 am

He thinks he is Neo disrupting The Matrix so in his virtual view of reality, he’ll never be called on it.



To: Brumar89 who wrote (938025)6/3/2016 1:31:02 PM
From: Broken_Clock1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Wharf Rat

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574005
 
was it communism or the longest economic embargo in modern times?

_____

Effect of Cuban Embargo
05/05/2015 11:32 am ET | Updated May 05, 2016

Maurice JourdaneAuthor, “Waves of Recovery” “The Struggle for the Health & Safety of Farm Workers: El Cortito”

The U.S. trade embargo of Cuba was initiated “in response to a 1960 memo by a senior State Department official. The memo proposed “a line of action that makes the greatest inroads in denying money and supplies to Cuba, to decrease monetary and real wages, to bring about hunger, desperation and the overthrow of the [Castro] government.”

In April 2015, I ventured to Cuba to write an article on the effect of the embargo on the Cuban people. Before going to Cuba, we read the normal travel books, telling us that since the 1959 revolution, there has been almost no food available and rooms were difficult to find. Having grown up amidst threats of the danger of communism and the Soviet Union’s minion Cuba, I expected to see soldiers carrying AK-47s on the corner and find it difficult to talk with the people about their lives. Neither occurred. Cuba today seemed like Mexico or Costa Rica during the 1950s.

The afternoon we arrived in Havana, we began talking with Cubans in their home converted to a casa particular, our home for the night. We walked several blocks through Havana to Plaza Viejo, where we feasted on fish caught that day in the nearby Caribbean, roasted pork chops and platanos. That evening, we ventured down Avenida Obispo and Calle Aguilar through Havana Viejo without being accosted by vigorous salesperson or beggars. The next morning, the owner of the casa particular served us breakfast of eggs, toast, fresh fruit and coffee and found us a ride 140 kilometers (or 87 miles) to Matanzas Province, not far from the 85 degree crystal sand beach and 86 degree water. Again, we talked with Cubans in their home, a casa particular. After several days, we went to the bus station for a ride across Cuba to the cobblestone streets of ancient Spanish Trinidad where we spent a night in a 15th Century Spanish home, a casa particular. The room in Havana, Matanzas Province, and Trinidad cost us less than $30 a night.

Life in Cuba was not as I expected. I learned that there exist two very distinct economies, one for the residents, one for the visitors. Fidel Castro led the revolution movement to equalize economic life in a country with a handful of rich and millions of poor. The Cuban people’s acquisition of property of the wealthy angered rich Cubans who fled to Miami. This led to a U.S. embargo of Cuba and loss to the Cuban people of their primary source of income, exportation of sugar cane. Because Cuba echoed Marx’s political theory of world-wide worker revolutions, the Soviet Union assisted Cuba to continue its effort to improve the lives of the poor which have been a success in Cuba’s exceptional health care and education program. But, by 1991 the Soviet Union dissolved and its assistance to Cuba ended. Loss of Soviet financial support and the continuing U.S. economic embargo resulted in severe poverty. This led to the Cuban leadership encouraging Canadian and European tourism.

Since the 1959 revolution, all Cubans received less than $20 a month, barely enough to survive. (After talking with two university professors about socialism in Cuba, they asked if we could help them get food for their children.) However, with the expansion of tourism, some Cubans were able to increase their income through government-permitted small businesses. They rent rooms in their home (casa particulares), convert their kitchen into small restaurants, sell embroidery table cloths in stalls along the street and even doctors drive the family car, classic 1950s Chevys, as taxi cabs after they go home from work. Amiable and attractive Cubans have learned they can leave their poverty behind by flirting with, dancing with, and talking with visitors who become their companions and lovers. This has resulted in Cuba’s two economies, one for the people who earn $20 a month and the other for companions of tourists who spend more on a single meal or bed than those who are not connected to the tourist economy spend in a month.

For non-Americans, Cuba is a living dream, the weather, the beaches, the friendly people, the lack of crime, the lack of traffic, inexpensive rooms the food, and the music heard nearly 24-hours a day. Because the goal of the United States embargo was to cause the Cuban people to go hungry through elimination of the primary sources of income in the country, the equality Castro sought resulted in the sharing of very little, $20 a month and government provided education and health care. The increase in European and Canadian tourism has reduced poverty; through fiscal prudence and ambition Cubans convert their home of eight rooms into several rooms for the family and five rentals for tourists. In many ways this part of Cuba’s economy mirrors the American Dream through the spread and growth of small businesses. As long as the businesses remain small, energetic efforts can lead to comfortable lives; property does not have to be amassed.

Recently, President Obama noted that the U.S. embargo of Cuba that impoverished the Cuban people for over half a century has failed. Today, the Cuban people look forward to hosting American visitors. Cuba will likely soon see the return of Americans, the purchase by Cubans of American products and the sale of Cuban cigars and rum in the United States with the Cuban people sharing in the growing economy. This furthers the dream and efforts of Castro and his supporters and the goal of those who support a free world economy. While the U.S. embargo of Cuba has caused hunger in the Cuban people, elimination of the otherwise fruitless embargo will be the first step in showing that United States foreign policy can reflect our humanity and that we are not too arrogant to admit our mistakes.