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To: dwight vickers who wrote (19313)12/31/1997 5:14:00 AM
From: Don Earl  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42771
 
Hi Dwight, (off topic)

Do you see a measurable impact on US earnings growth in the near future as a result of Asia? I tend to suspect that a lot of what market sentiment will be short term, will depend on what earnings look like compared to estimates going into the end of January.

Consumer confidence seems to be at an all time high. If dumb, fat, happy Americans keep spending and investing, wouldn't US markets tend to be viewed as an island of safety for domestic as well as foreign investors? To me the most amazing thing about the stock market is that as long as the majority believe prices will go up, prices go up. As long as the news media continues to tell people everything is OK, the herd keeps moving in the same direction. The ability of Reuters to calm or panic the herd is unbelievable. Even in a land where speech is free, that kind of power strikes me as questionable. I don't know what things will look like six months down the road, but for now it looks like the bulls have been granted a reprieve. From what I've been able to dig up on economics I believe your assessment of the situation is pretty close to being right on target. From limited personal experience, I've found that when I'm the only one that is right and everyone else is wrong, it hasn't done me a bit of good. The hard part is guessing how long it takes for the herd to change it's mind. Happy New Year!

Regards,

Don