SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: E_K_S who wrote (57506)7/6/2016 8:56:04 PM
From: Graham Osborn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78702
 
Lol - I see AGN is the first common stock in their last Q. Hopefully they did better research on dividend sustainability for the others.

I read in WSJ today that corporate debt now accounts for ~25% of the total. The wolf of ZIRP has cornered everyone in CLOs and their underlying. If those prove unsafe, there is nowhere else to go. As I mentioned last year, when the VRX/ AGN collapse is complete I expect that to coincide with a significant widening in IG spreads. The VRX part happened but the final outcome is a tug-of-war between the ECB's monetization programme and front-loaded debt servicing programmes. It will be interesting to see who wins. But if senior notes go bad the preferred is wiped out. I'm not convinced that the 5% yield is a value, or that the Aaa status is a meaningful predictor of dividend coverage.