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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sun Tzu who wrote (317265)11/9/2016 6:13:39 AM
From: Sun Tzu  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 541008
 
Donald Trump would have lost US election if Bernie Sanders had been the candidate

During the primaries, one of the most common attacks on Bernie Sanders was that he wasn't anywhere near as "electable" in the general election as Hillary Clinton.

As Donald Trump is poised to assume the presidency, let's take a look back at how Sanders was polling against Trump in a head-to-head general election matchup.

The RealClearPolitics average from May 6-June 5 had Sanders at 49.7% to Trump's 39.3%, a 10.4-point cushion.

In that same time frame, Trump was polling close to Clinton and was even ahead in multiple polls.

During an appearance on Meet The Press at the end of May, Sanders acknowledged that disparity: "Right now, in every major poll, national poll and statewide poll done in the last month, six weeks, we are defeating Trump often by big numbers, and always at a larger margin than secretary Clinton is."

That polling was of course based on a hypothetical scenario, five months from Election Day. However, Sanders' popularity among white working-class voters might have been the difference in this election; voters that Trump ultimately won.

Sanders defeated Clinton in both the Wisconsin and Michigan primaries, two of the states that Trump surprised in on Tuesday.

This wasn't lost on those who had followed the polls:

I 100% believe Bernie Sanders could have beaten Trump. I think A LOT of people jumped camps when Clinton beat out Sanders.— Joshua Ovenshire (@TheJovenshire) November 9, 2016
If democrats hadn't screwed over Bernie Sanders we'd probably be talking about President-elect Sanders right now. #ElectionNight— The Catch Fence ™ (@TheCatchFence) November 9, 2016
I'll finally say it: Bernie Sanders would be our President in 2016 if the DNC didn't collude.— Chris McCoy (@chrisamccoy) November 9, 2016
...and Bernie was called "unelectable".— Joe Penna (@MysteryGuitarM) November 9, 2016



To: Sun Tzu who wrote (317265)11/9/2016 6:17:36 AM
From: stsimon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 541008
 
I greatly over estimated the Democrats ground game's ability to overcome a weak candidate and a generation of bad trade deals that have led to the hollowing out of the manufacturing base and huge income inequality. I couldn't have been more wrong.