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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Allan Harris who wrote (2678)1/8/1998 4:50:00 PM
From: sea_biscuit  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42834
 
Even with today's downgrades, EPS growth is at least 30% per year. Based on 1998 @ $1.30, PE is 14. 1999 estimates are $2.00, so assigning even a 20 PE for 1999 puts the stock at $40.00 in 12-24 months.

I wouldn't hazard 1999 estimates for a company with little or no track record. And 30% growth per year over 3-5 years is an almost impossible thing in a very-low-tech sector like the restaurant industry.

Then there is the market cap argument, that Planet Hollywood's market cap values 50 theme restaurants at $1.2B. RAIN has 14 now, plans on 50-100 in next 5-7 years.

What? In 5-7 years?? If the company is still around, you mean? ;-)

Talking of restaurants, you might want to take a look at Luby's Cafeterias (NYSE:LUB).

Dipy.



To: Allan Harris who wrote (2678)1/9/1998 11:41:00 AM
From: Trebor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42834
 
Allan:
I'm curious about your Never Average Down rule. I've averaged down with both good and bad results. What has been your experience? Right now I'm sorely tempted to average down on UTEK and some other tech stocks. What holds me back is the whole Asian economic crisis which seems to be getting bleaker and bleaker.