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Technology Stocks : All About Sun Microsystems -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Alok Sinha who wrote (6579)1/8/1998 4:40:00 PM
From: cfimx  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 64865
 
sunw performed in 1997 (the company), the stock did about what the average large American company did in 1997, because HP and DEC were asleep at the wheel-which I didn't anticipate. They have woken up and 98 will be much tougher for all of them. With all due respect sir, you are making the classic mistake of stating what NT is now, and not what it will likely become. That's classic. You can't talk about what is happening now. You have to look ahead one two years. You know that investors already factor in what NT is now vs sunw. So it doesn't do much good to say NT doesn't scale, it's not used in mission critical, etc. I know that, you know that, and investors know that. Recall that sunw and msft are in GROWTH areas. That means that as investors, we need to figure out what is in the mind of the NEXT customer who will by or replace high end computer gear. What is he thinking? What is he likely to deem important in six months to a year or longer?

When I do that, I see NT improving, HP and DEC winning with 64bit and better I64 story, and a big fat failure for NC. Now, tell me what lies ahead, not what's in front of our face today.

With regards to Java and thin client bailing out your long position, I'm from Mizzuri. I don't buy the Mcnealy (Ellison strangely quiet) view of the world. And if you do your homework, you will find that industry businespeople are as sceptical as I am, namely Rod Canion and Gordon Eubanks of Symantec. They dismiss the NC effort entirely. Oh, and btw, with PCs under $800 now, Microsoft delivering simplicity in 98, why would a business go to an NC-not compatible? Hmm?

Sitll searching for an NC. Anybody seen one yet?

BTW, I've been at two IBM AS/400 shops in the last year. Not an NC in sight but plenty of PCs.