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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ChartMan22 who wrote (96922)9/22/2017 10:48:54 AM
From: robert b furman1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Don Green

  Respond to of 220939
 
Hi chartman,

That's a BIG QUESTION MARK!

It could be a lot of noise and not result in much.

I think the real story on that will be those who hold Tresuries and Mortgage backed securities - who do not want to hold til maturity.

I do not have any fixed income positions.

I think the larceny that is being planned will coma about a widening bid ask spread from the banks.

I think the rate changes will in a long term view be modest - with more than expected volatility with in a range.

If you want out on a day with yields jumping up, the banks will take a cut on the higher spread.

They've learned to feed the high frequency scalpers on stocks and will consider the same approach with "in house" to bonds - the automation of fixed income so to speak = banks profits in a huge market.

Just look at how long the bond bull has run - add a little fear and you've got: " cut my losses I want out".

I do not even want to think how a 30 year treasury's value will be as the slow draining of MBS and treasuries relentlessly increases over the years!

If we think"lower for longer" applied to oil - just think what the fed will do to fixed income prices?

It will make the oil market look like a fast cycle market!

Scary and very glad I'm not in it.

A completely manipulated market by central banks. ERGGG

Bob



To: ChartMan22 who wrote (96922)9/22/2017 10:54:02 AM
From: Qualified Opinion  Respond to of 220939
 
For me, it's individual stocks with cash dividends, buybacks, and no direct ETF exposure.
Some stocks do go up in a down market.



To: ChartMan22 who wrote (96922)9/22/2017 11:14:02 AM
From: Seismo  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 220939
 
Global Central Banks have added almost $2 TRILLION in liquidity just since January 1st. If this continues it will continue to mute the negative response the Feds actions might have on the equity markets.