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Politics : The Trump Presidency -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steve Lokness who wrote (47404)12/4/2017 4:45:50 PM
From: neolib  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 362177
 
I'm not whining about any jobs currently lost in Radiology. I'm pointing out what the future holds.

Would you for example recommend that any young person consider a career in say trucking or driving a taxi. Any driving job? How long ago was it that the idea of those jobs going way would have been laughable?

A very fundamental change has happened in that computer vision systems are now rapidly closing the gap on specific tasks vs humans. That coupled with large data systems will obsolete a whole heck of a lot of jobs that were based on humans trained for vision tasks coupled with detailed knowledge painfully crammed into their skulls. Humans aren't getting any better at learning, and given Baumol's cost disease, the price of training them spirals ever upward. Their replacements are learning faster by leaps and bounds yet, and the cost of training the next one gets dramatically cheaper with time. How do you think this game will end?

If it were legal, I would already ditch GP Docs (i.e. an annual checkup) for an online session with a smartphone camera and an AI Doc. We are already at that point, its just the systems cannot be legally deployed.