SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (140413)4/4/2018 10:05:54 AM
From: stsimon1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Elroy Jetson

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217948
 
Government moves slowly. I suspect you will increase your interest in the trade war as time progresses.

Tariffs can be effective if imposed before the jobs leave. The manufacturing jobs that left the U.S. were on minimally automated assembly lines of the 1980's and 1990's. If that production should be returned to the U.S. there would be some temporary construction jobs created as new factories are built, but those factories, when operating, will not be staffed by high school and grammar school graduates. They will be staffed mostly by robots. Such factories will produce returns almost exclusively to capital with very little to labor.

Given the complexity of current international manufacturing supply chains, it is unlikely that such a transformation could be done in less than many years or a couple of decades. Does anyone seriously believe that in a country with elections every two and four years that the American public will be willing to sustain the disruption caused by such an approach? I doubt it.