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To: rogermci® who wrote (31439)	11/4/2018 4:18:49 PM
From: skinowski	Respond to of 41413

R, I have doubts about this as well. In 2008-09 PEs remained very high - because the earnings collapsed even worse than prices. So, I can't see how low PE's can possibly be an absolute precondition for major lows.

To: rogermci® who wrote (31439)	11/4/2018 4:38:39 PM
From: scoot1212	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 41413

Roger,1550 and 1810 are my areas of interest, which I believe hold the highest probability, eventually. Also, the current upward correction will help define where we are. Since the markets can remain resilient, longer than you can remain solvent, the continuation of upward gaps followed by short-covering could take this up substantially, as they often do in parabolic runs. For this to occur, I would think long rates would need to drop. It's a possibility, but not highly probable in my view, currently. Also, concerning PE's, the ultimate target for price of the market and the target for earnings are a subjective wildcard. There are all kinds of variations that could lead to an 8 PE, for example. jmho