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Biotech / Medical : Ligand (LGND) Breakout! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Flagrante Delictu who wrote (13517)1/20/1998 11:36:00 AM
From: Henry Niman  Respond to of 32384
 
Bernie, I have added a synopsis to Kevin Wilson's analysis (under SBH and AHP aalliances). I looks like someone is sending out Links to LGND's address. The site ( home.att.net ) is getting hit so hard that I'm having trouble keeping up.
(It has been hit almost 500 times this morning and you can pretty much guess who the heavy hitters are).



To: Flagrante Delictu who wrote (13517)1/20/1998 11:51:00 AM
From: Andrew H  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 32384
 
Hey Bernie, welcome back from H and Q and to SI.

>>At the breakout session after the LGND presentation at H&Q, Dr. Steven Reich seemed to indicate that LGND would be going forward in the areas of NSCLC, prostate, ovarian, & breast cancer.<<

That sounds like unexpectedly good news. With the prostate, ovarian and breast cancers, do you know if we are talking Targretin or Panretin? Also will you be putting together a complete report on the presentation and breakout for the thread?



To: Flagrante Delictu who wrote (13517)1/20/1998 12:18:00 PM
From: Henry Niman  Respond to of 32384
 
Arvind Desai was just on CNBC. He's a Biotech analyst (I missed who he is currently with, but he used to be with Mehta & Isaly) and he expects the AHP - SBH deal to go through. He says both companies want it to happen and the new company would have 5.79% of market share (Pharmaceutical sales). They would pass Novartis (4.44%) and GLX (4.43%). He wasn't sure about terms and price. He said that AHP's current net income was 33% higher than SBH. He wasn't sure about regulatory concerns, especially in the US.

He thought that there could very well be more rounds of consolidation. A leading market share of 5.79% still would be below most other industries. When asked about WLA, he said that diabetes and cholesterol drugs were doing well and now market cap was possibly too high for a merger in the next year or two. He thought that PNU might be a good merger candidate because of low value (2.5 X sales) and current CEO is from AHP.



To: Flagrante Delictu who wrote (13517)1/20/1998 12:45:00 PM
From: Vector1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 32384
 
Bernie,
I agree with your assesment of what Reich said. Remember, the Phase II's were for very small patient populations (16 I believe). The strategy is to do large numbers of mini-phase IIs on a variety of diseases. The indications that show the most promising activity will be continued.
Good question on Leptin.
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