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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (1137)1/21/1998 5:45:00 PM
From: taxikid  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18691
 
i prefer to look at from the other view, even though i gave up my long and short position in ctxs a long time ago.. msft tried to crush them,..made a mistake in trying to compete with them, and because they said all of the wrong thing to depress ctxs, and since they don't have a solution they gave ctxs 100Million...
ctxs mkt cap has been repiared and i think very soon.. when the price gets clobbered on its own, msft will buy them out as opposed to going hydra..
not a strong enough argument for me to go either way.. and i am putting no money down here.. i believe they will be bought out in the range of fair value..
and unlike zitl,vvus.. their product is real and msft "needs" it..
i wish i knew now what i didn't know when i had that straddle.. i would be worth a significant amount more..
taxi



To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (1137)1/21/1998 5:57:00 PM
From: Mike Farrar  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 18691
 
Crystal Ball (Next big tech stock to crash and burn)

Besides crummy RDRT which tanked earnings by 600%,
I am looking for ITWO tomorrow after the bell to miss
earnings estimates of .15 cents a share. I am thinking
it will be a bigger fall than the SMOD, DDIM runs.
ITWO is currently trading at 10x sales, 20x book and has a
P/E of 229. Almost impressive as our friends over at YHOO.
But this stock has only one form of income, from its Rhthym
software. You have a business banking on 1 product. Plus,
ITWO does 29% of its business in Asia and Europe. Also,
check out PSIX up 30% on buyout rumors. Hope XCIT
flops on earnings after the bell tomorrow too.

Jeff

P.S. Looks like you shorts are going to send CTXS
to where it belongs.



To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (1137)1/22/1998 4:32:00 AM
From: zx  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18691
 
hi Roger, i read CTXS had a 176% increase in revenues.
its earnings doubled and it beat estimates.
do you think these are smoke and mirrors numbers? thanks, ag