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Politics : Formerly About Apple, Inc. Unmoderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zen Dollar Round who wrote (9188)10/1/2019 4:16:03 AM
From: Doren  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 11191
 
There are multiple variables with Apple now.

1) projected sales of phones don't pan out, particularly the quarter after the Xmas quarter, nobody seems to see this happening... but its really not that clear how sales will go after the initial rush, which hasn't been overwhelming

2) stock market pull back as you mentioned

3) Apple as movie house fails to pull in projected viewers

4) 5G fails to attract phone users, particularly if it drives up prices

5) strong dollar eats revenue, Tariffs eat profit margins

6) Brexit crises worse than we anticipated

7) Trade war with China worsens badly

8) Chinese economy tanks

9) trade wars with other nations

10) currency wars

11) inequality gap worsens

12) trump runs out of secret words to pump markets ie "productive" "fruitful"

any multiples of the above



To: Zen Dollar Round who wrote (9188)10/1/2019 2:05:46 PM
From: Jamie1531 Recommendation

Recommended By
Doren

  Respond to of 11191
 
I was being facetious. There's no saying what the madman in the WH will do next or how the Fed will react to his unstable behavior.

Stocks go up and down. There's no magic behind it. Analysts don't have any more insight into their value than the rest of us. They get paid to guess and since it's easy to prove their educated guesses are far worse than throwing a dart at a target number I'm not sure why anyone cares that they think.

I don't hate AAPL. I own it and I'll probably sell it today for a 40% gain. The manufacturing numbers that came out today are horrible. We're clearly in a manufacturing recession. 47.8 wasn't expected with a trillion dollar deficit. In fact, these numbers are closer to a full blown recession. We haven't seen numbers this bad since 2009, just after the Great Recession ended (the recession ended in June of 2009).