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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bull_dozer who wrote (152872)1/31/2020 1:16:32 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217931
 
Call it Blue Girl Contagion or
Budweiser Pandemic
:0)



To: bull_dozer who wrote (152872)1/31/2020 5:07:27 PM
From: THE ANT  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217931
 
2/3 of corona patient deaths in healthy but over 45 adults My guess is if you are a healthy over 45 male your chance of dying is 2-3% if you get the bug This is unheard of with influenza I completed 3/4 of a Masters in Public Health at John Hopkins 20 years ago and they were waiting for this kind of bug back then



To: bull_dozer who wrote (152872)2/1/2020 1:09:05 PM
From: Lazarus1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Horgad

  Respond to of 217931
 
The answer to your question lies in this statement:

Influenza has already sickened at least 15 million Americans this season, hospitalizing 140,000 and killing 8,200, according to the CDC.
Do the math:

The incidents of death in the common flue are 8200 / 15000000 = .00054%

or around 540 deaths per million infected

The incidents of death in the coronavirus is 259 death out of 12,024 cases

( using current stats from the John Hopkins tracker )

259 / 12024 =
0215%

or around 21,500 cases per million

THE CURRENT DEATH RATE OF THOSE INFECTED WITH THE CORONAVIRUS IS AROUND 39 TIMES GREATER THAN THE COMMON FLU.

OR TO PUT IT ANOTHER WAY -- IF 15 MILLION PEOPLE CATCH THE CORONAVIRUS AT THE CURRENT DEATH RATE THERE WOULD BE ~ 322,500 DEATHS

The two fear factors of a pandemic are:
  • high exponential growth rate.
  • high death rate.


As for growth rate... more people have been infected with the corona virus in one month than were infected with the SARS virus in 6 months.









To: bull_dozer who wrote (152872)2/1/2020 6:49:15 PM
From: TobagoJack2 Recommendations

Recommended By
bull_dozer
Dr. Voodoo

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217931
 
Re << coronavirus >>

(1) I am being careful about countering the 2019nCoV, by own pharmacological cocktail constituted from below active ingredients, and may boost certain active ingredients' dosage come tomorrow / Monday, starting in Asia and onward to USA, especially if Team India should report a large increase of cases tracking the early days of Wuhan, as India is not set up for such

(1-i) Long FXI finance.yahoo.com puts and short calls, net cash zero

(1-ii) Long EWH finance.yahoo.com puts and short calls, net cash zero

(1-iii) Short QQQ and short QQQ calls

(1-iv) Long GLD, short GLD puts and GLD calls

(1-v) Long GDX, short GDX puts and GDX calls

(1-vi) Long GDXJ, short GDXJ near term puts and calls, and long GDXJ leap puts

(1-vii) Long PALL, SBGL, PAAS, WPM, AG, KL, GOLD, RGLD, FNV directly and / or by derivatives

(1-viii) Long long-dated SIL puts

(1-ix) Short near-money COP puts, and long out-of-money COP puts

(1-x) A dash of BMA and its derivatives, and

(1-xi) A splash of ALGN and its derivatives

(2) Should we get a bounce-up, shall re-up short position

(3) Should we get a flash-crashette, buy buy buy, for the melt-up

(4) Watching HK industrial real estate, and papering the start of presentation for possible new investment club amongst the boyz

Am watching the virus as closely as possible except not using microscope.

Am taking temperature of social fever.