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Technology Stocks : INDONESIA'S PT TELECOM(TLK) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jay Fisk who wrote (131)1/25/1998 1:46:00 PM
From: Jay Fisk  Respond to of 947
 
Slick's problem is minor . . .

Another surprise was the extent to which the US banking system was

insulated from the problem. According to the statistics of

international lending of $ 131 bn by US banks only $ 32 bn or 25

percent was to Asia. The surprise was Europe where the percentages

were much higher and indeed where the banks have much more

international exposure. So German banks lent $ 178 bn internationally

of which $ 47 bn was to Asia. The percentage of Asian lending was

similar to the US but the absolute number is higher. The full table

is published below

International Bank Exposure
In US$ Billions
Tot US Jap Ger Fr UK
All Countries 1,055 131 173 178 100 78
Developed C. 185 16 24 30 14 19
Asia 389 32 124 47 40 30
Indonesia 59 5 23 6 5 4
South Korea 103 10 24 11 10 6
Malaysia 29 2 10 6 3 2
Philippines 14 3 2 2 2 1
Taiwan 25 3 3 3 5 3
Thailand 69 4 38 8 5 3
Hong Kong 222 9 87 32 13 30
Singapore 211 5 65 38 15 25
Tot above Asian 733 40 253 105 58 75

Now make the extreme assumption that all of these loans have to be

written off. Let us do the thought experiment where all of these

loans are paid taken over by the central bank concerned. Then the

injection of liquidity to prop up the banking system would be $ 32 bn

in the US, the equivalent of $ 47 bn in Germany and $ 40 bn in France

- the European amount of additional liquidity would be almost 3 times

that in the US. For Japan the number is $ 123 bn.



To: Jay Fisk who wrote (131)1/25/1998 1:54:00 PM
From: r q lad  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 947
 
Jay - I'm no expert but this sounds like a positive for Indo. Do you think it will have that effect on the markets tomorrow (monday).

randy