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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: the traveler who wrote (8645)3/24/2020 10:54:29 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 26472
 
I think eventually you saturate where everyone has been exposed, everyone who is going to die does and you then go on like we did in past pandemics until the next one comes along.
PS--i think i may have flunked the test. i couldn't find a blank piece of paper big enuf.

Make it simple Do the math on a piece of paper... start with 790 today for the US but make it 500 for easy math.

Use a week for doubling for some social distancing.

Thus 1 week from now you have 500 x 2 = 1,000

2 weeks from now you have.... 2,000 deaths

How many doubles (weeks) to a million deaths?

Until YOU do this, hearing it explained is PROBABLY worthless unless you are gifted at math.




To: the traveler who wrote (8645)3/24/2020 11:05:09 PM
From: Kirk ©  Respond to of 26472
 
It looks like NY City is as bad as Italy as following rules and suggestions to protect society.... In Italy it seems nobody wanted to buy cigarettes to last more than a day so they kept returning to the smoke shops!
are you sure the death rate will double every 5 days through the travail of the ages going forward? if that is a fact then all that can be done or said is mute!
Hopefully we slow it enough that we can find treatments so when you get it, you are cured rather than die if you are in the unlucky small percentage. Even better is it goes somewhat into remission, we make a vaccine and we get shots for it before it reemerges.