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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: kimberley who wrote (9252)4/18/2020 8:47:42 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26680
 
Hi Kim,
However, as I've tried to teach my kids, and the edict I've tried to live by, is that change can be a wonderful thing. It's all in your mindset, I think.

Thank you again for taking the time to reassure me, and I promise you did. We are all going to come out of this wiser, and hopefully better as humans.
I hope you are right but I really hope a few selfish jackasses masquerading as humans don't ruin it for the rest of us by ignoring the shelter in place or celebrating victory too soon.

Study warns hospitals about a big surge if measures lifted

In a study released this week, UC Berkeley School of Public Health and Kaiser Permanente researchers analyzed more than 1,000 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in California and Washington within the Kaiser system.

The biggest takeaway? Long COVID-19 patient hospital stays — especially for those that don’t ultimately survive — could burden the health system during a spike in cases, particularly if jurisdictions loosen shelter-in-place orders.
...
In fact, the virus’s reproduction rate — or the number of people that each infected person passed the virus to — already had declined to around one in Northern California by March 20, researchers estimate.

Early social distancing measures, from companies encouraging work-from home policies to banning large gatherings, certainly helped to stem the spread of the disease before Newsom’s March 19 statewide order, researchers said.

“That’s the context people need to remember. It’s not like all our lives changed suddenly with the statewide order,” Lewnard said.

Now that nationwide discussion centers on possible changes to those orders, however, that low transmission rate quickly could skyrocket again, the research team cautioned.

The “great fear,” Lewnard said, is that hospitals will quickly be pummeled with fresh cases and reach capacity if restrictions are lifted wholesale.

I don't think Kaiser has any incentive to lie...

I read that people let their guard down after WW I ended and there was a huge surge in infections in many places that didn't see a heavy first round...