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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kirk © who wrote (10231)8/21/2020 2:57:10 PM
From: Sun Tzu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26439
 
I don't think a crash is in the works. But I do think that a lost decade such as most of the 1930s is quite possible.



To: Kirk © who wrote (10231)8/23/2020 11:57:04 AM
From: Winfastorlose1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Kirk ©

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 26439
 
I have been talking about this for the past month or so and now it is at an extreme.

"Horrendous" Market Breadth "Stinks To High Heaven", Screams Imminent Risk-Off

While we previously discussed the unprecedented market cap concentration of just a handful of companies (spoiler alert: it's the FAAMGs with AAPL surpassing the $2 trillion barrier last week, and then adding a quick $100 billion in market cap on Friday on no news and merely due to a surge in call buying ahead of Monday's stock split record date, which pushed the stock within inches of $500/share) consider that all of last week's record highs in the S&P were set on negative breadth, meaning that there were more decliners than advancers.



It gets better: as the traditionally bullish and cheerful Bloomberg commentator Andrew Cinko writes, "Friday was even more outlandish in terms of narrowness" as it wasn’t a market of stocks on Friday, but just one single stock that moved the market (guess which one):

87% of DJIA point gain came from Apple: (index +191pts vs AAPL’s contribution 167pts)103% of S&P 500 increase (11.7 vs 12.0)148% of Nasdaq Composite (46.9 vs 69.7)105% of Nasdaq 100 (78.1 vs 81.8)As Cinko explains, extending an analogy we first made last week...