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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (162165)	9/3/2020 9:45:26 AM
From: carranza2	2 Recommendations Recommended By Julius Wong zamboz Read Replies (6) \| Respond to of 218870

Well, I’ve sold all but a tiny no-cost position in TSLA at a nice (very nice!) profit. The TSLA bubble seems over. Bought a small AAPL position at March lows, when the end of the world was imminent. Will keep it for the long term, though it is also bubbled up, because fundamentals are good, unlike TSLA’s. The lesson learned from QCOM’s 1999 rocket ride is finally put into action. Cannot wait for the next end-of-the-world-is-nigh event.

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (162165)	9/5/2020 5:57:11 AM
From: TobagoJack	2 Recommendations Recommended By Haim R. Branisteanu Pogeu Mahone Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 218870

RE <<TSLA>> the beast might turn out to be a reverse 10-bagger, and actually infinite bagger, as if below read correct, it would be the case that TSLA is cloud-ATM machine but with its cash in a sack on the sidewalk finance.yahoo.com Tesla Stock Could Tumble Over 90%, Says Analyst TipRanks September 5, 2020 Despite the recent pullback, 2020’s frothy stock market has provided Tesla ( TSLA) investors with massive returns. However, if Wall Street’s most prominent Tesla bear has his way, the next 12 months will be a steep descent to the bottom. GLJ Research analyst Gordon Johnson expects Tesla shares to be changing hands for $19 each a year from now (yes, that’s not a typo), implying a decline of 96%. Needless to say, Johnson’s rating for Tesla is a Sell. (To watch Johnson’s track record, click here) Johnson has so many issues with Tesla, it is hard to know where to start. On the plus side, the analyst estimates Tesla’s overall 2020 deliveries will hit 494,848, which is only just below Tesla’s 2020 guidance for 500,000. And that is where the plus side ends. The problems? Let’s see. Take away “FSD (full self-driving) and credit sales in 2020,” and Johnson believes TSLA will lose roughly $200 million “in both 3Q20 and 4Q20,” adding “the core business is still a perpetual loss maker.” The analyst also believes Tesla has a tendency “to shift numbers around as it sees fit (as it did in 1H20 where credit sales jumped to $782mn vs. $267mn in 2H19) - making modeling the company's earnings more an ‘art’ than science.” And while Tesla is now eligible to join the S&P 500 after recording profits for 4 consecutive quarters, Johnson argues this is probably only due to recognizing “71% of the full value of the FCA credits due to the company over the next three years in just two quarters.” What else? Tesla’s FSD product is “vaporware.” Sales are trending down in most regions (US and Canada and in Europe), whilst the data points to “disappointing” sales in China. Additionally, the parabolic rise in Tesla shares – “a valuation approaching that of more than the entire global auto industry” - has nothing to do with fundamentals, with the fed pumped US markets "structurally broken" and a “bubble building in markets that are not properly functioning.” Nevertheless, Johnson predicts another "Rabbit-Out-of-the-Hat" in 3Q20 and believes “once again consensus will be ‘Bedazzled’ by the ‘Magic Show.’" “When does it end?” Johnson asks, “We don't know... but what we are confident of is that TSLA's fundamentals are worsening by the day, and when this ends TSLA will trade down to fair value. Thus, despite all the, quite frankly, BS analysis (lacking of any actual numbers) we see out there, we are sticking with our fundamental view.” It is hard to match such a bearish outlook, although the Street is hardly peppered with Tesla bulls. TSLA's Hold consensus rating is based on 4 Buys, 15 Holds and 11 Sells. Over the next 12 months, the analysts expect shares to be changing hands at a 36% discount, given the $286.44 average price target. ( See TSLA stock analysis on TipRanks) To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights. Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analyst. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment.

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (162165)	9/9/2020 5:02:41 AM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 218870

Re <<TSLA ... Gold>> I do not know about <<halve again and again and again>>, but yes, TSLA shall bite it and hard, almost but perhaps not to the point of put-a-fork in it, as its patents are worth something and should be able to keep going for awhile. Been very busy doing the to / fro, in / out, zig / zag, and all direction of net cash flow at closing position time is towards me, the opposite of away from me. Good thing, for I need or want or deserve to have the net cash, to use to buy gold. Am currently: Long physical gold, Long DRD equity hedged with shorted calls and further exposed w/ shorted puts, Long GDX / GDXJ puts Short TSLA calls (but at safe distances, and within short-enough duration) and have odds & ends positions in a bunch of other stuff such as jails, salmons sitting on gold, etc etc Am intending to go long TSLA even as I maintain short against TSLA, since am agnostic w/r to how I get rewarded. I shall go long buy going long other TSLA calls I closed my shorts against 9984.T (Softbank) and note that closing the position was not a slam-dunk given that the bull is not dead.