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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Julius Wong who wrote (164824)11/6/2020 7:38:48 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217835
 
Shorted GLD Put strike 180 (wishing to be putted), and TSLA Put strike-330 (hope to avoid being put), as well as shorted TSLA calls

Closed short DRD calls (except February strike 12.5, the battle line); overall enormous profit as call positions dominated by November strike-15s. Closed to be ready to rinse & repeat at higher levels.

Shorted more DRD puts OTM (hoping to avoid being putted)

Bought more GBTC / QBTC

Closed long calls on NIO and XPEV to claim profit, and

Opened short NIO puts and XPEV puts (okay being putted)

My base case premise is that
- "Under NO conditions will Donald Trump concede" (he has 49-51% of the popular support)
- Be prepared for constitutional crisis into the New Year
- Am unsure what CoVid is or is not doing. Am looking at Europe and see shutdown / shut-in happening, even as migration-enabled religious fanaticism happening
- Unsure what happens in course of possible CoVid 2 in USA
- The working Joe & Jane6Packs would do poorly in such a slaughter arena, whereas the wealthier Zoom / home-office enabled might make out if they are astute as well as agile
- Write off the next 4-years. 2024 coming up
- Leading to proto-failed-state scenario theatlantic.com
- requiring anti-fragile stance
- Long galactic bitcoin, universal gold, Hong Kong HKEX (0388.HK), South Africa DRD, and China EV, but be careful about shorting the FED-induced planetary adrenaline rush
I am thankful that all happening before the young ones have to fend for themselves, as we are still able to answer our call of duty










To: Julius Wong who wrote (164824)11/6/2020 11:51:08 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217835
 
TRQ

ft.com

Rio Tinto heads for arbitration with own subsidiary

Dispute over funding for over-budget and late-running Oyu Tolgoi project in Mongolia
November 5 2020
Rio Tinto is seeking ‘clarity’ on financing the Oyu Tolgoi mine © Taylor Weidman/BloombergRio Tinto is at loggerheads with a subsidiary over how to fund a multibillion-dollar cost overrun at its huge underground copper and gold project in Mongolia’s Gobi desert.

Turquoise Hill Resources, which is 50.80 per cent owned by Rio, revealed on Thursday it had started arbitration proceedings against its parent in British Columbia to seek “clarity” on financing the Oyu Tolgoi mine.

The underground expansion of Oyu Tolgoi is one of Rio’s most important projects and will increase its copper output at a time when the shift to renewable energy drives demand for the metal for use in electric vehicles and wind turbines.

But the expansion has been a near constant source of problems for Rio and its outgoing chief executive Jean-Sébastien Jacques. The project, which the Anglo-Australian miner runs on behalf of TRQ, is running between $1.3bn and $1.8bn over budget and 16 to 30 months behind schedule.

First production is now scheduled for autumn 2022. Once at full capacity the mine will be able to churn out more than 500,000 tonnes of a copper a year, worth about $3.4bn at current prices.

In September Rio said it did not want Toronto-listed TRQ to take on more than $500m in additional debt, saying equity should be used to plug any funding gaps.

TRQ, which owns 66 per cent of Oyu Tolgoi, wants to pursue a plan that involves “reprofiling” its debt burden by pushing out payments and selling the rights to gold production from the mine.

It said on Thursday that the arbitration process would provide “needed clarity from an independent third party” of Rio’s obligations under their co-operation pacts.

“Rio Tinto’s approach to the financing of the Oyu Tolgoi project is incompatible with the company’s announced strategy to maximise debt and or hybrid financing for the Oyu Tolgoi project so as to minimise the size, and defer the timing, of an equity rights offering, if any,” TRQ said.

The arbitration process, which is confidential, is expected to take between three and five months with its decision will be binding on both parties, according to TRQ.

Minority shareholders in TRQ have complained for years that Rio has too much control of the company and would look to dilute them through equity issues. TRQ has a market value of just $1.6bn.

Rio fears TRQ’s financing plan will saddle the company with expensive debt that would alarm the Mongolian government, according to people familiar with its thinking. Ulaanbaatar owns 34 per cent of the mine.

“We cannot comment on the arbitration announcement issued by Turquoise Hill Resources as we have not yet received an arbitration notice or background on their claims,” Rio said on Thursday

Edward Sterck, analyst at BMO Capital Markets, said TRQ’s hybrid financing package was not in Rio’s best interests. “In our view these options would likely have a cost of capital similar to, or more likely in excess of, Rio Tinto’s own, but still leaving Rio Tinto to bear all the risk,” he said.

Henry Steel, fund manager at Odey Asset Management who has made large profits betting against TRQ, said the arbitration was simply a “PR exercise” to avoid a governance backlash from investors.

“There is a clear legal route and incentive for Rio?.?.?.?to run a rights issue here. The arbitration will simply confirm this,” he said.

Last month a US legal firm launched a class-action lawsuit against Rio, accusing the miner of making “materially false and misleading statements” about the progress of OT.

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