To: Investor A who wrote (46783 ) 1/31/1998 9:14:00 AM From: Jim McMannis Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
Here's the Forbes article for those who couldn't find it...some scathing words for Intel...especially the part about Intel clearly not being able to move chips thus the price cuts...which is a questionable remark. ------ Tainted earnings Take a peek at Intel's fourth-quarter (ended Dec. 30, 1997) earnings' report. Wall Street was expecting the company to post earnings of around 90 cents a share. But Intel surprised the Street on January 14 with earnings of 98 cents a share. Look closer and you'll see that accounting tricks are responsible for those better-than-expected results. Intel's effective tax rate for 1997 was 34.8%, lower than the estimated 35.5%. This translated to roughly 4 cents a share for the fourth quarter. In addition, the company reported that its income from businesses other than microprocessor sales was about $50 million higher than expected. That's another 2 cents a share. Finally, the company bought back about 12 million shares, tacking an extra penny per share onto its earnings. What you are looking at is 91 cents in earnings. Go down a wee bit more, and you find that total net inventories jumped to $1.7 billion in the fourth quarter, versus $1.5 billion in the third quarter. And, more telling, is the fact that the company's finished goods inventories were up 28%, to $514 million, in the fourth quarter, from $401 million in the third quarter ending Sept. 27, 1997. Look closer and you'll see that accounting tricks are responsible for those better-than-expected results. Intel is clearly having trouble moving its product. Which goes a long way towards explaining the early January price cuts announced by the company. Maybe this explains some insider sales at Intel. If an insider sells near highs, it is called profit taking, but when insiders sell their stock after the shares have backed off from earlier highs, that usually spells trouble. And that's exactly what some Intel insiders have been doing, according to CDA Investnet, an insider-trades tracking service. From July to early October, when Intel was trading at its alltime highs of between $90 and $100, insiders sold just 142,500 shares. But between October 20 and 31, five Intel insiders got rid of a total of 679,236 shares priced from $81 to $86. The insiders were led by CEO Andy Grove, who exercised options totaling 648,000 shares, selling 520,000 of them in the open market and transferring another 126,690 to a trust. The stock hit an alltime high of $102 a share last August before settling in the mid-$70s. Intel will continue to churn out a profit and, perhaps in the next millennium, will see surging earnings after the release of its 64-bit Merced chip by the turn of the century. (See The 64-bit question.) But in the near term, the great times are over. Maybe that is why the stock posted only a minuscule gain of 7.7% in 1997, a year which saw the S&P 500 shoot up by more than 31%. ----- Jim