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Strategies & Market Trends : The Art of Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: sense who wrote (1594)	3/23/2021 3:46:08 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 10585

People have actually researched and studied bubbles extensively. The short version is that you should never bet on a bubble (long or short) b/c: (1) it's almost impossible to know ahead of time if it really is a bubble (i.e. will end in a 40% drop) (2) even when you correctly identify a bubble it is nearly impossible to time it accurately and the volatility can kill you, and (3) only a fraction of bubbles end up in losses. The majority either even out or actually end up ahead of the curve despite their 40% or so drop. And no, outside of things like EV, BTC, etc I don't think there is a bubble.