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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Follies who wrote (170076)	4/1/2021 5:50:17 AM
From: TobagoJack	1 Recommendation Recommended By sense Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 218785

Re <<Going out on a limb and calling a bottom in gold at 1680 and silver at 24.>> Likely a thick and strong limb, 3 feet off of the ground level, on a comfy grass field, during a nice spring day, and no wind. Should it go much below that, crazy buy-point for all things Au / Ag mining, like when oil went to negative 37. I reckon. Re <<Prediction June 30, gold 1850, silver 27.50, Bitcoin 72000.>> I take your 72K and call you 88K per Pantera Message 33262490 I have no clue on why the model can possibly work, but the model is the model that has been working for awhile, as stock / flow models tends to, for awhile. Issue being "how long is a proper while?" #bitcoin currently in between 2013 and 2017 tracks pic.twitter.com/P8zUKzawk4 — PlanB (@100trillionUSD) March 30, 2021

To: Follies who wrote (170076)	4/2/2021 4:23:25 AM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 218785

the minute a usa-based based bitcoin ETF comes to be, volatility of BTC should drop, firstly by BTC going up, and then up some more, transparently, as all have birdseye view of the queue of eager buyers given team Biden's eagerness to compete w/ team Jinping on money-printing. much goodness should aggregate to Layer #1 BTC, ETH and I hope, Caspers, and to Layer 2 of whatever, all and everything to do w/ ownership

To: Follies who wrote (170076)	4/2/2021 11:43:58 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 218785

Longer term guesses re BTC Let us see whether the authoritarian Pantera stock / flow model more predictive of the presumably more democratic Longforecast sports better utility. longforecast.com Bitcoin Price Prediction 2021, 2022, 2023, 20242021/04/02. Bitcoin Price Today. Bitcoin price equal to 59314 dollars a coin. Today's range: $58965 - $59453. The previous day close: $58988. The change was +326, +0.55%. Bitcoin Price Prediction For 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 And 2025Bitcoin price prediction for April 2021. In the beginning price at 58793 Dollars. Maximum price $72509, minimum price $52816. The average for the month $60227. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $56791, change for April -3.4%. BTC to USD predictions for May 2021. In the beginning price at 56791 Dollars. Maximum price $67021, minimum price $50849. The average for the month $57334. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $54676, change for May -3.7%. Bitcoin price prediction for June 2021. In the beginning price at 54676 Dollars. Maximum price $67864, minimum price $54676. The average for the month $60160. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $63424, change for June 16.0%. BTC to USD predictions for July 2021. In the beginning price at 63424 Dollars. Maximum price $78722, minimum price $63424. The average for the month $69786. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $73572, change for July 16.0%. Bitcoin price prediction for August 2021. In the beginning price at 73572 Dollars. Maximum price $88304, minimum price $73572. The average for the month $79494. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $82527, change for August 12.2%. Bitcoin Cash Price Prediction 2021, 2022-2024. Bitcoin Gold Price Prediction 2021, 2022-2024. BTC to USD predictions for September 2021. In the beginning price at 82527 Dollars. Maximum price $102432, minimum price $82527. The average for the month $90804. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $95731, change for September 16.0%. Bitcoin price prediction for October 2021. In the beginning price at 95731 Dollars. Maximum price $118821, minimum price $95731. The average for the month $105333. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $111048, change for October 16.0%. BTC to USD predictions for November 2021. In the beginning price at 111048 Dollars. Maximum price $137833, minimum price $111048. The average for the month $122186. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $128816, change for November 16.0%. Bitcoin price prediction for December 2021. In the beginning price at 128816 Dollars. Maximum price $128816, minimum price $109648. The average for the month $121295. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $117901, change for December -8.5%. BTC to USD predictions for January 2022. In the beginning price at 117901 Dollars. Maximum price $131494, minimum price $114290. The average for the month $121644. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $122892, change for January 4.2%. Bitcoin price prediction for February 2022. In the beginning price at 122892 Dollars. Maximum price $152534, minimum price $122892. The average for the month $135218. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $142555, change for February 16.0%. BTC to USD predictions for March 2022. In the beginning price at 142555 Dollars. Maximum price $147447, minimum price $128155. The average for the month $138990. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $137801, change for March -3.3%. Bitcoin price prediction for April 2022. In the beginning price at 137801 Dollars. Maximum price $161320, minimum price $137801. The average for the month $146922. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $150766, change for April 9.4%. BTC to USD predictions for May 2023. In the beginning price at 143088 Dollars. Maximum price $164545, minimum price $143015. The average for the month $151107. Bitcoin price forecast at the end of the month $153780, change for May 7.5%. Read more Bitcoin to GBP Prediction 2021, 2022-2025. Bitcoin to AUD Prediction 2021, 2022-2025. All forecasts are updated on daily basis. Only mortgage rates forecast and history are updated weekly. Bookmarking the page to check for updates later: on PC press buttons Ctrl + D or click the star next to the browser bar at the top.on iPhone/iPad tap the Share icon on the bottom bar for iPhones / at the top on iPad. Select Add to Home Screen, then Add. on Android tap the 3-dots icon at the top right. Tap Add to homescreen, then Add. Sent from my iPhone

To: Follies who wrote (170076)	4/5/2021 7:07:45 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 218785

Re <<Prediction June 30, gold 1850, silver 27.50, Bitcoin 72000.>> Would say it is telling that BTC is reacting and gold and silver not reacting to Team Biden's latest moves This moment, to mark the copybook, Gold @ 1,728 Silver @ 24.77 BTC @ 58,836 Trump did great for gold / silver and bitcoin investors. Biden has only done well for bitcoin hoarders, so far.

To: Follies who wrote (170076)	4/10/2021 12:31:58 AM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 218785

RE <<Prediction June 30, gold 1850, silver 27.50, Bitcoin 72000.>> Looking good ... or at least better ... and nicer weekend shaping up ... 18% seems doable Who knows why, but the Force is perturbed somewhat deribit.com

To: Follies who wrote (170076)

4/11/2021 10:56:06 PM

From: TobagoJack

Respond to of 218785

Re <<Prediction June 30, gold 1850, silver 27.50, Bitcoin 72000.>>

macro looks supportive and sentiment remains positive, therefore all seems good-enough

according to Willy Woo youtube.com down under where MQ used to live

This is the PAID EDITION of The Bitcoin Forecast, they are sent whenever on-chain structure changes, usually every 2-4 weeks.

Enable images to see the charts in this email. Please don’t reply to this email, individual consultations are not yet available, questions should be posted publicly as a comment.

#forecast 016 : Intermission

Apr 11

Dear subscribers,

Welcome to The Bitcoin Forecast #016.

My last letter came at a time when the market was in a bearish stance while capital flows into the network were accelerating. The giveaway title of “buying the dip” called for a bottom reversal and a retest of all-time-highs within 2-3 weeks. Now 2.5 weeks later, Bitcoin has completed its retest of the $61k ceiling and is currently hovering slightly below.

Top level summary for 11th April 2021 (current price $58.9k):

· Short term: Long term buyers continue to accumulate, buying each dip, while price consolidates. The most probable outcome is continued sideways price action, followed by a strong bullish break of the $61k ceiling. This could be at anytime within the next 2 weeks.

Short term speculators continue to FOMO into long positions at every price high presenting lucrative opportunities for the market to counter trade them, it’s likely that we need a window where long positions are not in demand before price can break the all-time-high ceiling.

· Long term: Miners have surpassed their prior 2017 highs in revenue. This marks a kind of halfway point in the Bitcoin bull run. It’s “intermission” time. Bull market top continues to point to a target above $300k.

All the best, till next time.

-Willy Woo

Analysis Breakdown
Price consolidates while accumulation from long term investors continueThe last 3 weeks has seen consistent bullish flows of coins being bought and moved off spot exchanges.

Note: This chart corrects for a false-positive large withdrawal from Bitstamp on 6th April, this was determined to be an internal transfer.

These coins are moving to long term holders with little history of selling as marked by red bars in the chart below.

Ultimately we’re in a very large sideways band of consolidation while coins continue to be accumulated with every dip being snapped up by long term investors. If this pattern continues, it’s only a matter of time before the resistance band breaks and price explores new highs.

Funding rates continue to punish early speculator FOMO
While price action is in its current sideways consolidation, I’ll mention that each approach we’ve had towards all-time-highs has brought with it retail speculators FOMO-ing into long positions. Each time this has caused a price rejection, as it’s very lucrative to counter trade the long positions. We can see this in the chart below which tracks the cost of funding a long position.

Glassnode: live chart

It’s likely in my opinion that rates will normalise down to lower levels before we ultimately see a break of the $61k all-time-high. That’s assuming Elon Musk doesn’t tweet something bullish on Bitcoin, or any other similar event.

Price floor update
Here’s an update on the estimated price floor. We’re presently at $48.7k for the floor price. The floor has been consistently climbing as new capital enters the network, while price is trapped under the all-time-high ceiling. This has resulted in a cooling off of the overheat-o-meter. While there’s some downside risk, overall, we’re near local lows of speculative overheat.

“Floor Price” is an estimation of the minimum price that Bitcoin can drop to under current capital flows into the Bitcoin network, while the Overheat-o-meter is simply how high the traded price is above the floor.

Macro: A miners roadmap to where we areWhile we’re waiting for consolidation to complete, it’s timely to revisit the longer term macro cycle and get a read on where we sit inside of it.

Miners are now surpassing peak revenues last seen in at the top of the 2017 bull market. Historically, when miners pass prior all-time-highs in revenue, price goes through a very strong consolidation band marking a kind of “halfway point” in the bull run.

To: Follies who wrote (170076)

4/11/2021 10:59:53 PM

From: TobagoJack

Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218785

Apr 11

To: Follies who wrote (170076)	4/13/2021 4:38:59 AM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 218785

Re <<Prediction June 30, gold 1850, silver 27.50, Bitcoin 72000.>> Looking more likely today than yesterday. As HK biz day ends we hand BTC over to your care at healthy state messari.io Comparatively, gold, silver, and the two hydrogen-economy tokens did phuck-all-nothing in line w/ your predictions kitco.com

To: Follies who wrote (170076)	4/13/2021 6:50:00 AM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 218785

Dinner time in HK messari.io Over to you :0)

To: Follies who wrote (170076)	4/15/2021 8:01:58 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 218785

RE <<Prediction June 30, gold 1850, silver 27.50, Bitcoin 72000.>> Whilst I understand the case for ETH and whatever to zoom faster than bitgold, it still boils down to relative safety and near-enough absolute-reliability, if such are applicable concepts appropriate to crypto-scape Latest Pantera call ... blockworks.co Pantera Stays Bullish on Bitcoin Casey Wagner Dan Morehead, founder, CEO and Co-CIO of Pantera Capital When valuing bitcoin, Pantera Chief Executive Officer and Co-Chief Investment Officer Dan Morehead said it all comes down to supply and demand. The largest digital currency hit a record high above $64,000 Wednesday, putting it on track to meet Pantera’s price prediction of $115,000 by August 2021. Morehead said the projection is based on data from previous halving cycles. The rally we are seeing today is no different than past run-ups, except now there is unprecedented institutional backing. “On the demand side, we’ve had massive companies like Morgan Stanley and PayPal enter the market. That shifts the demand curve much higher,” Morehead wrote in April’s letter to investors. “At the same time, the supply of newly-issued bitcoin was cut in half last May—as part of the every-four-years halving of bitcoin issuance.” Morehead doesn’t see the rally stalling anytime soon. “For every million new users, the price of bitcoin rises $200,” Morehead wrote. “It happened every time except for February 2016, when the price was slow to hit.” Source: PanteraIf the trend continues, Morehead wrote, bitcoin will reach $200,000 in 2022. That would be a 213% increase from bitcoin’s price today, which is on trend for the asset’s typical yearly return. Beyond bitcoin It’s not just bitcoin that is seeing tremendous growth, Morehead stressed. He is also confident that alternative coins ethereum and polkadot will continue to perform along with decentralized finance protocols. Source: PanteraIn January, Pantera reported that the market cap of bitcoin and ethereum was 84% of the overall market. All 5,000 other projects made up a combined 16%, but that is starting to change. “The non-bitcoin and ethereum market share has more than doubled, from 16% to 34%, in the past three months,” Morehead wrote. “Watch this space. That’s where the largest gains are likely to be.”

To: Follies who wrote (170076)	4/20/2021 8:49:27 PM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 218785

Re <<Prediction June 30, gold 1850, silver 27.50, Bitcoin 72000.>> as many fret about the cratering of BTC, am puzzled, and say "what cratering?" u.today Hedge Fund Legend Bill Miller Claims Bitcoin Is Not in a Bubble Legendary investor Bill Miller is convinced that Bitcoin is not in a bubble despite the top cryptocurrency recently coming close to hitting the $65,000 level, according to his Apr. 20 interview on CNBC’s “The Exchange”: I don’t think this is a bubble at all in Bitcoin. This is now the beginning of a mainstreaming of it The flagship coin hit a high of $64,895 on Apr. 4, but it has since seen a violent correction to the $51,000 level. The former Legg Mason CIO, however, is not deterred by the most recent bearish move. He told CNBC viewers that he was expecting more upside due to the dynamics of supply and demand: Supply [of bitcoin] is growing 2% a year and demand is growing faster. That's all you really need to know, and that means it's going higher. Related World's Largest Electronic Music Store to Begin Accepting Bitcoin Not fooling around with altcoins Miller has noted that Bitcoin’s drawdowns are normal since volatility is the price investors have to pay for the cryptocurrency’s superb performance. However, despite some altcoins seeing even bigger gains, the hedge fund legend refuses to “fool around” with them since he sees the top coin becoming the next Amazon. Despite its violent moves, Miller claims that Bitcoin is a much better store of value than gold because of its divisibility, transportability, and other distinctive features: It is a much better version as a store of value than gold.