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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (32023)	7/31/2021 11:25:56 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 97431

I think this data means that the vaccines are half useless against Delta :( ===== CDC study shows 74% of people infected in Massachusetts Covid outbreak were fully vaccinated PUBLISHED FRI, JUL 30 20212:34 PM EDTUPDATED FRI, JUL 30 20218:27 PM EDT Berkeley Lovelace Jr. @BERKELEYJR KEY POINTS About three-fourths of people infected in a Massachusetts Covid-19 outbreak were fully vaccinated, according to new data published Friday by the CDC. The new data, published in the U.S. agency’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, also found that fully vaccinated people who get infected carry as much of the virus in their nose a ski unvaccinated people. ===== For reference, 63% of Massachusetts is fully vaccinated and (I think) 71% has had one shot. Now the reason I say half useless is that the infection rate is above the vaccination rate. What we really need to know is what the number of infections would have been if MA had not been vaccinated. If you have epidemiologist friends, maybe they can shed some light on this.

To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (32023)	8/25/2021 3:39:06 PM
From: Jacob Snyder	2 Recommendations Recommended By ajtj99 towerdog Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 97431

Covid: Global: 7dma of daily reported cases has stopped increasing. Possible peak on August 19 at 657k. 5B vaccine doses given. UK: after the July peak, a decline, but not to the pre-Delta baseline. Looks like they may get a series of smaller waves, extending for months. The hoped-for rapid decline post-peak is not happening. 63% of population fully vaccinated. US: 7dma curve has stopped increasing, now at 149k, indicating a possible peak. Daily deaths look like they may be peaking at 1000. 52% vaccinated. India: 7dma down to 32k, far below the 400k peak. No secondary waves so far. 10% vaccinated. All these numbers are undercounts, but are useful relatively. Data accuracy: UK>US>India, trough>peak. If we are just past the peak in covid cases, then oil, airlines, cruise ships may be troughing. I am buying in increments. I cannot find much data on % of population with covid antibodies. India 66%, US 20% (old data), no data elsewhere. This would be a better measure of how close we are to the end of the pandemic. All numbers from NY Times and worldometer.