To: Sun Tzu who wrote (2092 ) 8/26/2021 8:35:24 AM From: Sun Tzu Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10744 Disk-Drive Stocks Are Sliding. Analyst Sees Trouble on Two Fronts. By Eric J. Savitz Aug. 24, 2021 2:06 pm ET The analyst rates both Seagate and Western Digital at Neutral. DREAMSTIME Shares of the disk-drive makers Seagate Technology Holdings and Western Digital are under pressure following cautious comments about both supply and demand from Edgewater Research analyst Kevin Rottinghaus. Seagate shares (ticker: STX) were down 5.2%, to $86.94, while Western Digital stock (WDC) was off 2%, to $61.02. Rottinghaus, who has Neutral ratings on both Seagate and Western Digital, said in a research note that while complications in the supply chain make it hard to determine the real level of demand, the disk-drive market appeared to be “tending in line or softer” in the September quarter through mid August. PC-related demand for drives appears to be softening , he said, including “a leveling off” in enterprise-focused models, with component supply issues still limiting production of PCs and servers. Shortages of key parts for PCs and server components, he wrote, are triggering push-outs in related markets, including disk drives. Covid-related production issues in Southeast Asia could pose a risk for drive supplies in the December quarter, he said. Rottinghaus also said he expects industry shipments of so-called nearline drives—high-capacity storage used in data centers—-to be down by 500,0000 units from the March quarter as Amazon.com and Google digest previously purchased inventory. ADVERTISEMENT - SCROLL TO CONTINUE He is also seeing dissipating demand from cryptocurrency farmers, a factor that drove up demand for high capacity drives earlier in the year . Rottinghaus said that pricing for nearline drives, which had recently been increasing, is likely to return to low-single-digit declines in the first half of calendar 2022. The bottom line, Rottinghaus said, is that he is taking a “more cautious stance” on the drive stocks, given the multiple risks to both demand and production.