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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kirk © who wrote (11833)8/25/2021 3:03:41 PM
From: Kirk ©  Respond to of 26822
 
Speaking of Agenus....

Agenus Inc.'s Imminent 1181/Bal Data Release And MiNK IPO Should Lead To Enormous Valuation Gains

Aug. 25, 2021 2:42 PM ET Agenus Inc. (AGEN)

  • In Q42021 (likely at SITC), AGEN is anticipated to publish updated 1181/Bal Phase 2 clinical data in MSS-CRC that shows 1181/Bal significantly outperforms current FDA approved 3rd line standard-of-care.

  • The broader clinical/investment community may see much faster patient enrollment than planned leading to an FY2022 BLA submission, accelerated approval in 1H2023 & Blockbuster sales potential just in MSS-CRC.

  • If 1181/Bal works on MSS-CRC, it should work on similar cancers (non-small-cell lung cancer) with large patient populations and peak sales potential in the tens of billions/year.

  • Nearer term, the IPO of AGEN's MiNK Therapeutics subsidiary may unlock more value than AGEN itself at $6/share based on recent peer IPOs.

  • Agenus' vast pipeline, including multiple Big Pharma partnerships (Merck, BMY, Gilead & Incyte), its PD1 (Bal) 12/16/2021 PDUFA date, QS-21/Stimulon assets (used in Shingrix) & MiNK IPO mitigate long-term risk.

K_E_N/iStock via Getty Images

Our net analysis concludes Agenus, Inc.'s ( AGEN) market cap drastically underestimates 2 imminent value-creating catalysts. First, AGEN plans to publish updated clinical trial data of its combination immuno-oncology therapy candidate dubbed 1181/Bal (likely at SITC in November 2021) in MSS-CRC (colon cancer). Based on AGEN's 1181/Bal disclosures to date, the updated 1181/Bal clinical data may indicate 1181/Bal will be an obvious Blockbuster & on the market as soon as 1H2023. Second & even nearer-term, AGEN has filed to spin-off its MiNK Therapeutics subsidiary ("MiNK") via IPO in 2H2021. Should MiNK be valued consistent with recent peer IPOs including Century Therapeutics ( IPSC) and/or Cellularity ( CELU) then the value attributed MiNK by itself could be higher than AGEN's enterprise value at $6/share.

Before we get to AGEN's imminent 1181/Bal clinical data update & the MiNK IPO, the following is a summary of AGEN's near-term pipeline with potential approval timelines and TAMs:

seekingalpha.com




To: Kirk © who wrote (11833)8/25/2021 4:08:08 PM
From: Elroy1 Recommendation

Recommended By
TigerPaw

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 26822
 
On the topic of health insurance, here's something I wonder about.

We are in the US now, family of five, and zero health insurance.

I've read articles indicating the uninsured pay the highest cost for medical services at hospitals.

Why not pass a law that says if a hospital is going to offer some specific medical service to some insured pool at some price, then they have to offer the same price for the same service to everyone?

Why should hospitals be allowed to charge different patients different prices for the same thing?